云南省非公有制经济竞争力研究

发布时间：2018-09-17 20:43

【摘要】：本文研究的主要目的是通过评价体系模型,从所有制层面对云南省非公有制经济竞争力和公有制经济竞争力水平进行综合评价;并从区域层面将云南省与重庆市的非公有制经济竞争力进行对比评价、对云南省部分州市的非公有制经济竞争力水平进行评价并排序。最后,通过建立组合预测模型对云南省及其16个州市未来五年的非公有制经济增加值进行预测。针对本文研究的目的和内容,采用文献研究法、定量分析法、定性分析法和实证方法进行分析研究。本文首先介绍了云南省非公有制经济的研究理论和现实意义。并通过概念阐述、文献分析以及经济学理论的介绍,找到研究云南非公有制经济的基本方法。通过对非公有制经济竞争力的研究能更好的为云南省非公有制经济的发展提出相关意见和建议。其次,通过分析云南省非公有制经济的发展现状,找出存在的问题,如:规模问题、企业结构问题、融资问题等,从而为研究云南省非公有制经济发展找到分析的逻辑起点。再次,设计所有制层面非公有制经济竞争力评价模型,评价云南省非公有制经济与公有制经济的竞争力之间的差异;设计区域层面非公有制经济竞争力评价模型,比较分析云南省和重庆市的非公有制经济竞争力综合指数,在此基础上进一步分析评价云南省部分州市的非公有制经济竞争力水平。利用层次分析法对所有制层面竞争力水平进行评价;运用主成分分析法对区域层面竞争力水平进行评价;利用灰色预测模型、多项式趋势拟合模型、指数平滑模型、指数模型整合成为组合模型,对云南省及其16个州市未来5年的非公有制经济增加值进行预测。利用SPSS软件、Eviews软件和EXCEL软件进行数据分析。从所有制层面分析结果来看,近十年以来,云南省非公有制经济竞争力均高于公有制经济竞争力,且两者之间差距在逐渐加大。从区域层面分析结果来看,云南省非公有制经济竞争力与重庆非公有制经济竞争力交替领先,但云南省非公有制经济预测风险和抗风险能力不及重庆市的非公有制经济。对云南11个州市非公有制经济竞争力水平分析,云南省非公有制经济竞争力存在明显区域差异。预计到2020年,云南省非公有制经济增加值将达到8413.71亿元(以2005年为基期)。最后,对云南省非公有制经济发展提出了出台相关政策、完善法规体系、调整产业及企业结构、拉动产业集聚、完善融资机制等对策和建议。
[Abstract]:The main purpose of this paper is to comprehensively evaluate the competitiveness of non-public economy and public ownership economy of Yunnan Province from the ownership level through the evaluation system model. At the regional level, the competitiveness of non-public economy in Yunnan Province and Chongqing is compared and evaluated, and the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in some cities of Yunnan Province is evaluated and sorted. Finally, the added value of non-public economy in Yunnan Province and its 16 cities in the next five years is forecasted by establishing a combined forecasting model. In view of the purpose and content of this paper, the literature research method, quantitative analysis method, qualitative analysis method and empirical method are used to analyze and study. This paper first introduces the research theory and practical significance of Yunnan non-public economy. And through the concept elaboration, the literature analysis and the economic theory introduction, finds the research Yunnan non-public ownership economy basic method. Through the research on the competitiveness of non-public economy, we can put forward some suggestions and suggestions for the development of Yunnan's non-public ownership economy. Secondly, by analyzing the current situation of the development of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province, we find out the existing problems, such as scale problem, enterprise structure problem, financing problem and so on, so as to find the logical starting point for the study of the development of Yunnan non-public ownership economy. Thirdly, design the evaluation model of non-public ownership economy competitiveness, evaluate the difference between Yunnan non-public ownership economy and public ownership economy competitiveness, design regional non-public ownership economy competitiveness evaluation model, The comprehensive index of non-public economy competitiveness in Yunnan Province and Chongqing is compared and analyzed. On this basis, the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in some cities of Yunnan Province is further analyzed and evaluated. AHP is used to evaluate the level of competitiveness at ownership level; principal component analysis is used to evaluate competitiveness level at regional level; grey forecasting model, polynomial trend fitting model, exponential smoothing model are used. The index model is integrated into a combination model to predict the added value of non-public economy in Yunnan province and its 16 cities in the next five years. SPSS software Eviews and EXCEL software are used for data analysis. From the view of ownership, the competitiveness of non-public economy in Yunnan Province is higher than that of public economy in recent ten years, and the gap between the two is gradually increasing. The regional analysis shows that the competitive power of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province is in the lead with that of Chongqing economy, but the ability to predict risk and resist risk is not as good as that of non-public ownership economy in Chongqing. Based on the analysis of the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in 11 cities of Yunnan Province, there are obvious regional differences in the competitiveness of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province. It is estimated that by 2020, the added value of Yunnan non-public economy will reach 841.371 billion yuan (base period in 2005). Finally, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions on the development of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province, such as issuing relevant policies, perfecting the legal system, adjusting the structure of industries and enterprises, stimulating industrial agglomeration, perfecting financing mechanism, and so on.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F121.23

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