加工贸易对重庆经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-10-05 18:10

【摘要】：改革开放以来，随着中国经济的不断发展，加工贸易的形式由以前的劳动密集型开始向资金技术密集型转变，并且伴随着加工贸易向内地转移现象，加工贸易对经济增长的促进作用到底如何，作为内地加工贸易具有代表性和特殊性城市的重庆，加工贸易和重庆的经济增长到底有什么样的影响关系，引起我们的思考，重庆的加工贸易起步于1983年，1997年直辖之后加工贸易反而有一种萎缩现象，到2000年开始重庆的加工贸易正式步入正轨伴随着高速经济增长，加工贸易的增长速度更为迅猛，加工贸易成为重庆市现代工业生产和流通体系的重要组成部分，对当地的经济、资本、产业结构等都产生了影响。本文基于重庆加工贸易发展迅猛的事实，结合前人研究的理论成果，集中于研究加工贸易对重庆市经济增长的动态效应。全文包括三个部分，分别是理论分析、经验实证、应用研究。通过理论分析，得出加工贸易是如何促进重庆市经济增长的，并建立相应的促进机制。在经验实证部分，利用协整检验方法检验各种经济效应与加工贸易的关系；在此基础上，建立VAR模型，，利用脉冲响应函数和方差分解方法对加工贸易的动态效应进行较完整细致的分析。加工贸易通过资本积累效应、技术进步效应、产业结构优化效应促进重庆的经济增长，这三个效应的长期效应钧大于短期效应，加工贸易的时滞性要求加工贸易转型迫在眉睫，从重庆的实际情况出发，制定合理的政策，创造良好的政策环境，鼓励和引导加工贸易良心发展，加强区域间产业合作，最大限度发挥加工贸易在重庆市产业链中的地区优势，期待加工贸易对能为重庆市经济发展更好的服务，理论的价值在于应用，通过上面的分析，挖掘出对重庆加工贸易有用的信息，并有针对性地提出若干政策建议，期望这些建议对重庆市加工贸易经济效应的进一步发挥具有指导意义。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, with the continuous development of China's economy, the form of processing trade has changed from labor-intensive to capital-technology-intensive, and accompanied by the transfer of processing trade to the inland. What is the role of processing trade in promoting economic growth? as a representative and special city of processing trade in the mainland, what kind of influence does processing trade have on Chongqing's economic growth, causing us to think about it? The processing trade of Chongqing started in 1983, and after 1997, there was a kind of shrinking phenomenon in the processing trade. Since 2000, the processing trade of Chongqing has been on the right track with the rapid economic growth, and the growth rate of processing trade is even more rapid. Processing trade has become an important part of the modern industrial production and circulation system in Chongqing, which has had an impact on the local economy, capital, industrial structure and so on. Based on the fact that Chongqing's processing trade is developing rapidly and combining the theoretical results of previous studies, this paper focuses on the dynamic effects of processing trade on Chongqing's economic growth. The thesis consists of three parts: theoretical analysis, empirical research and applied research. Through theoretical analysis, this paper concludes how processing trade promotes Chongqing's economic growth and establishes corresponding promotion mechanism. In the empirical part, the co-integration test is used to test the relationship between various economic effects and processing trade, and on this basis, the VAR model is established. Pulse response function and variance decomposition are used to analyze the dynamic effect of processing trade in detail. Processing trade promotes Chongqing's economic growth through the effects of capital accumulation, technological progress and industrial structure optimization. The long-term effects of these three effects are greater than those of short-term effects. The delay of processing trade requires the transformation of processing trade to be imminent. Proceeding from the actual situation in Chongqing, we should formulate reasonable policies, create a good policy environment, encourage and guide the development of processing trade conscience, strengthen interregional industrial cooperation, and maximize the regional advantages of processing trade in Chongqing's industrial chain. It is expected that processing trade will serve the economic development of Chongqing better. The value of the theory lies in its application. Through the above analysis, we can find out the useful information for Chongqing's processing trade, and put forward some policy suggestions. These suggestions are expected to play a guiding role in the further development of the economic effects of processing trade in Chongqing.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124.1;F752.68

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