中国居民消费结构及其对生产结构的影响研究
发布时间：2018-11-11 19:28
【摘要】：本文依据宏观经济学、微观经济学、消费经济学、计量经济学和投入产出理论，利用AIDS模型（几乎理想需求函数模型）对中国城乡居民的消费结构进行实证研究，分析我国城乡居民消费水平和消费结构的现状特点、变化情况和变化规律。结合计量模型和投入产出模型，对消费行为和消费结构变化作出可靠的预测，并分析由消费结构变化引起的生产结构变化特点和趋势。最后提出合理的政策建议。 本文包括四部分内容：第一部分，介绍本文的研究背景及研究意义，进行相关文献综述，说明研究内容及研究方法；第二部分，详细介绍AIDS模型及建模方法，建立我国城乡居民消费的AIDS模型，根据模型结果，对我国城乡居民消费结构的变迁特点进行分析，并对我国居民的消费结构特点进行城乡对比分析；第三部分，通过投入产出与计量方法相结合，分析近20年来我国城乡居民的消费结构变化对生产结果的影响和变迁历程，并对“十二五”规划和党的十八大报告提出的收入倍增目标引起的消费结构变迁，预测生产结构的变化；第四部分，根据第二、第三部分的分析，得出主要结论，，提出合理性建议，展望未来的研究方向。
[Abstract]:Based on macroeconomics, microeconomics, consumer economics, econometrics and input-output theory, this paper makes an empirical study on the consumption structure of Chinese urban and rural residents by using AIDS model (almost ideal demand function model). This paper analyzes the characteristics, changes and rules of consumption level and consumption structure of urban and rural residents in China. Combined with econometric model and input-output model, the changes of consumption behavior and consumption structure are predicted reliably, and the characteristics and trends of production structure change caused by the change of consumption structure are analyzed. Finally, reasonable policy suggestions are put forward. This paper includes four parts: the first part introduces the research background and significance of this paper, carries on the related literature review, explains the research content and the research method; In the second part, the AIDS model and modeling method are introduced in detail, and the AIDS model of Chinese urban and rural residents' consumption is established. According to the results of the model, the changing characteristics of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents in China are analyzed. And the characteristics of the consumption structure of the residents in China are compared and analyzed in urban and rural areas. The third part, through the combination of input-output and metrology, analyzes the influence and changing course of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents on the production results in the past 20 years. The change of consumption structure caused by the income doubling target proposed in the 12th Five-Year Plan and the report of the 18th National Congress of the Party, and the forecast of the change of production structure; The fourth part, according to the analysis of the second and third parts, draws the main conclusions, puts forward reasonable suggestions, and looks forward to the future research direction.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F126.1;F121.3
本文编号：2325892
[Abstract]:Based on macroeconomics, microeconomics, consumer economics, econometrics and input-output theory, this paper makes an empirical study on the consumption structure of Chinese urban and rural residents by using AIDS model (almost ideal demand function model). This paper analyzes the characteristics, changes and rules of consumption level and consumption structure of urban and rural residents in China. Combined with econometric model and input-output model, the changes of consumption behavior and consumption structure are predicted reliably, and the characteristics and trends of production structure change caused by the change of consumption structure are analyzed. Finally, reasonable policy suggestions are put forward. This paper includes four parts: the first part introduces the research background and significance of this paper, carries on the related literature review, explains the research content and the research method; In the second part, the AIDS model and modeling method are introduced in detail, and the AIDS model of Chinese urban and rural residents' consumption is established. According to the results of the model, the changing characteristics of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents in China are analyzed. And the characteristics of the consumption structure of the residents in China are compared and analyzed in urban and rural areas. The third part, through the combination of input-output and metrology, analyzes the influence and changing course of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents on the production results in the past 20 years. The change of consumption structure caused by the income doubling target proposed in the 12th Five-Year Plan and the report of the 18th National Congress of the Party, and the forecast of the change of production structure; The fourth part, according to the analysis of the second and third parts, draws the main conclusions, puts forward reasonable suggestions, and looks forward to the future research direction.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F126.1;F121.3
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