安徽省居民消费比重偏低的原因与对策研究

发布时间：2018-11-15 21:49

【摘要】：近20年来,我国居民消费在GDP中所占比重,即居民消费率呈现下降趋势。安徽省也是如此。2011年安徽省居民消费率仅为39.1%,虽然略高于同期全国平均水平,但较发达国家明显偏低①。2011年,安徽省的居民消费率分别比美国、英国和日本低42%、55.4%、21.33%②。与同为发展中的大国印度相比,安徽省的居民消费率同样偏低,安徽省的居民消费率低于印度10—20个百分点。居民消费率偏低的情况,不仅不利于社会主义生产目的的顺利实现和社会的和谐、稳定,而且破坏社会需求内在的合理结构,影响社会需求的持续增长,进而影响社会经济的持续增长。因此,分析安徽省居民消费率偏低的原因,探寻提高安徽省居民消费率的措施,显然具有一定的理论意义与实际意义。本文运用实证分析法,通过构建相关模型,对可能导致安徽省居民消费率偏低的各种主要因素,如初次分配中居民总收入占GDP的比重偏低、再分配中收入分配的不公平程度的提高、较低的城市化率、社会保障体系的不完善、消费信贷的不足以及没有良好的消费习惯和消费环境等等,进行了研究与分析。结果显示,居民可支配收入占GDP的比重、收入分配公平程度、城市化率和社会保障体系等因素,都对居民消费率有着正向促进作用。通过实证分析,本文认为,为了增加安徽居民的消费,提高安徽省的居民消费率,持续扩大安徽省的内需,促进安徽省经济的持续增长与社会发展,必须做好下几个方面的工作：第一,对初次分配格局进行调整,提高居民收入占GDP的比重；第二,缩小收入分配差距,提高收入分配的公平程度；第三,加快城市化进程；第四,建立健全的社会保障体系；第五,建立健全的金融信贷体系；第六,引导居民形成与时俱进的良好的消费习惯；第七,改善消费环境。
[Abstract]:In the past 20 years, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP, that is, the consumption rate of residents, shows a downward trend. The same is true of Anhui Province. In 2011, the consumption rate of Anhui residents was only 39.1 percent, which was slightly higher than the national average for the same period, but significantly lower than that of the developed countries. In 2011, the consumption rate in Anhui Province was respectively higher than that in the United States. Britain and Japan are as low as 42.55.4and 21.332. Compared with India, a developing country, the consumption rate in Anhui Province is also on the low side, which is 10-20 percentage points lower than that in India. The low consumption rate of the residents is not only detrimental to the smooth realization of the socialist production objectives and the harmony and stability of the society, but also undermines the internal rational structure of the social demand and affects the sustained growth of the social demand. Then affect the sustained growth of social economy. Therefore, it is of theoretical and practical significance to analyze the reasons for the low consumption rate of the residents in Anhui Province and to explore the measures to improve the consumption rate of the residents in Anhui Province. In this paper, we use empirical analysis to analyze the main factors that may lead to the low consumption rate of residents in Anhui Province, such as the low proportion of total income to GDP in the initial distribution. This paper studies and analyzes the unfairness of income distribution, the low urbanization rate, the imperfection of social security system, the shortage of consumer credit and the lack of good consumption habits and environment. The results show that the proportion of resident disposable income to GDP, the degree of income distribution equity, urbanization rate and social security system all play a positive role in promoting the resident consumption rate. Through the empirical analysis, this paper holds that in order to increase the consumption of Anhui residents, increase the consumption rate of Anhui residents, continuously expand the domestic demand of Anhui Province, and promote the sustained economic growth and social development of Anhui Province, We must do a good job in the following aspects: first, to adjust the initial distribution pattern to increase the proportion of resident income in GDP; Second, narrow the income distribution gap, improve the fairness of income distribution; third, accelerate the process of urbanization; fourth, establish a sound social security system; fifth, establish a sound financial and credit system; Sixth, guide residents to form good consumption habits of keeping pace with the times; seventh, improve consumption environment.
【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F126.1

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