中国“五化”测度及其协调发展空间格局——以31个省份为例

发布时间：2018-11-17 08:16

【摘要】：以中国大陆31个省为研究对象(1),构建其"五化"城镇化、信息化、工业化、绿色化、农业现代化的评价指标体系,基于变异系数赋权、协调系数与协调发展度测算31个省份"五化"发展强度及其协调阶段类型,借助Arc GIS空间分析探讨其空间格局差异,研究表明:(1)中国大陆农业现代化整体平均水平居首位,绿色化次之,工业化、信息化、城镇化相对滞后;(2)东部地区"五化"强度大于东北与中部,西部最低,呈现以东部沿海省份向内陆腹地扩散、延伸的态势;除东北农业现代化发展潜力巨大,其他四化在东部优势最为显著;(3)东中部为城镇化高值区,信息化高值区集中在沿海省份,工业化高值格局与京沪、京广、杭福深高铁线状布局相吻合,绿色化高值区集聚在长江三角洲、珠江三角洲、成渝与北部湾城市群及武汉与江淮城市圈,农业现代化主阵地布局在黑吉辽内蒙古等省份;(4)粤苏鲁浙京"五化"强度独占鳌头,川沪豫辽鄂次之,皖黑渝闽冀再次之,陕湘吉赣桂津与内蒙古较低,其他最低;(5)31个省份"五化"协调发展度整体均呈上升态势,东部与中部"五化"整体处于濒临失调衰退,东北与西部处于轻度失调衰退,多数省份"五化"仍处于勉强协调与濒临失调类型;以苏鲁粤等为核心的长江三角洲、珠江三角洲、山东半岛"五化"协同区覆盖范围广泛,新青藏贯穿的西部地区较薄弱。
[Abstract]:Taking 31 provinces in mainland China as the research object (1), the evaluation index system of urbanization, informatization, industrialization, green and agricultural modernization is constructed, which is based on the weight of variation coefficient. The coordination coefficient and the degree of coordinated development were used to measure the development intensity of "five transformation" and the types of coordination stage in 31 provinces, and the spatial pattern difference was discussed with the help of Arc GIS spatial analysis. The results show that: (1) the average level of agricultural modernization in mainland China ranks first, followed by greening, industrialization, information technology and urbanization; (2) the intensity of "five modernizations" in the eastern region is higher than that in the northeast and the central part, and the lowest in the west, showing the trend that the eastern coastal provinces spread to the inland hinterland. Except for the great potential of agricultural modernization in Northeast China, the other four modernizations have the most obvious advantages in the east. (3) the middle part of the east is a high value area of urbanization, and the high value area of informationization is concentrated in the coastal provinces. The pattern of high value of industrialization is consistent with the linear layout of high-speed rail in Beijing, Shanghai, Beijing and Guangzhou, Hangzhou and Shenzhen. The green high value area is concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta. Chengdu-Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration and Wuhan and Jianghuai urban circle, agricultural modernization main position layout in Heiji, Liao and Inner Mongolia provinces; (4) Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong, Zhejiang and Beijing have the highest "five" intensity, followed by Sichuan, Shanghai, Henan, Liaoning, Hubei, Anhui, black, Chongqing, Fujian and Hebei, Shaanxi, Hunan, Jiangxi, Ganjin and Inner Mongolia are lower, and the rest are the lowest; (5) the degree of coordinated development of "five modernization" in 31 provinces is on the rise, the whole of the eastern and central regions is on the verge of maladjustment and recession, and the Northeast and the west are in a slight imbalance recession. Most provinces are still in the type of barely coordinated and on the verge of maladjustment; The Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta and Shandong Peninsula "five Modernization" Synergetic areas, with the core of Jiangsu, Shandong and Guangdong as the core, cover a wide range, but the western region through the new Qinghai-Xizang region is relatively weak.
【作者单位】：开封大学;
【基金】：河南省软科学研究计划项目“生态足迹视角下河南省新型城镇化发展的战略选择和动力机制研究”(162400410379)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：F124

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