中等收入阶段我国城乡收入差距演变趋势及其影响因素研究——对于“库兹涅茨倒U型假说”的再检验

发布时间：2018-12-11 10:40

【摘要】：运用1980~2015年总量数据和2000~2015年省级面板数据,测度中国城乡收入差距演变趋势及各地区变化趋势差异,并进一步分析其背后的影响因素,得到以下结论:改革开放以来中国城乡收入差距有所增加,在分析期间呈现出波动式变化趋势;分地区来看,各地区城乡收入差距变化趋势有所差异,但在中等收入阶段均呈现出明显的倒U型特征;在各影响因素中,市场化进程对城乡收入差距的影响并不显著,城乡居民人均收入比值、对外开放扩大了中国城乡之间的收入差距,城镇化进程缩小了中国城乡间收入差距;人均GDP与泰尔指数二次项回归系数显著为负,说明中等收入阶段中国经济发展水平与城乡收入差距确实存在倒U型的关系。
[Abstract]:By using the data of total amount from 1980 to 2015 and provincial panel data from 2000 to 2015, this paper measures the evolution trend of income gap between urban and rural areas in China and the variation trend difference of different regions, and further analyzes the influencing factors behind it. The following conclusions are drawn: the income gap between urban and rural areas in China has increased since the reform and opening up, and has shown a fluctuating trend during the period of analysis; According to different regions, the trend of income gap between urban and rural areas is different, but in the middle income stage, there are obvious inverted U-type characteristics. Among the influencing factors, the marketization process has little effect on the income gap between urban and rural areas. The ratio of per capita income of urban and rural residents, the opening to the outside world has enlarged the income gap between urban and rural areas in China, and the urbanization process has narrowed the income gap between urban and rural areas in China. The quadratic regression coefficient of per capita GDP and Tyr index is significantly negative, which indicates that there is a negative relationship between the level of economic development and the income gap between urban and rural areas in the middle income stage.
【作者单位】：南京审计大学经济与贸易学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“中国经济新常态阶段增长动力转换的机理、障碍与对策:基于非均衡增长理论的研究”(71573137) 国家社会科学基金项目“区域产业专业化对城镇化的影响机制研究”(15BJL040) 江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目“江苏省重点序列学科——应用经济学”(苏政办发[2014]37号) “十三五”校级重点培育交叉学科“跨境电商”(南审研发[2016]36号)
【分类号】：F124.7

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