中部城市群自我发展能力测算及时空演变分析

发布时间：2019-01-10 10:59

【摘要】：近年来,在中部崛起的大背景下,中部六省在各个方面的工作实现了巨大的飞跃,经济稳步提升,社会全面进步,人民生活水平提高,生态环境和居住环境逐步改善。经济学家樊纲曾说过:“中部地区是中国未来最具有发展的潜力,也是最具有成长空间的地域”,这些都离不开中央对中部地区的高度重视以及政策倾斜,同时再发展过程中中部自身发展能力问题也引起人们的关注。说到底中部要想稳步发展,从根本上解决发展中遇到的问题和矛盾,必须加强中部地区的自我发展能力。自“十五”伊始,中央提出中部崛起战略,中部地区各省都深入挖掘战略内涵,着力应对其所带来的发展机遇与挑战,认为未来中部发展的核心就是极力打造城市群,以点带面,实现整个区域全面发展。新形势下深入实施中部崛起战略的关键时期,必须以增强自我发展能力为主线,而着力发展城市群则成为中部地区发展的桥头堡。中部城市群自我发展如何摆脱现有困境,实现质的飞跃是未来中部崛起的重要一环。区域要想可持续发展最根本的出路就是要挖掘自身发展潜力资本,提升区域内经济水平、社会水平、科技水平,激发区域内生力量带动整个区域发展,即通过提升区域自我发展能力实现区域可持续发展。城市群作为带动中部崛起的标杆,应该挖掘城市群新经济,作为提升区域自我发展能力的助推器。本研究从中观视角出发,把区域自我发展能力看作是四个能力维度共同作用的一个综合能力,采用理论研究与实证分析相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合等多种方法,通过选取适当的考察指标,构建中部地区城市群自我发展能力评价指标体系,利用2007、2010、2013年中部城市群各城市统计数据,测算出三个年份的中部城市群的自我发展能力,并对其在时间和空间的演变进行了深入分析,结果显示:中部城市群自我发展能力都整体偏低,发展不平衡,中部城市群的五个子城市群内部也不平衡;自我发展能力系统内部结构也不够合理,四个维度之间缺乏一致性,特别是创新培育能力这一维度过低,成为自我发展能力水平提升的短板,与其他三个维度相比严重失调,如何能在未来发展中使内部结构趋于合理,形成一种高水平的协调发展水平将成为亟待解决的问题;中部城市群以及各子城市群自我发展能力以及内部四个维度在时间和空间上均有各自明显的演变趋势。对于中部城市群自我发展能力提升提出合理建议,当前最主要、最关键的任务就是要加大中部城市群自我发展能力的培育,要把方向、机遇、动力、基础作为中部城市群发展的四个基本,打造如“合肥模式”和“合肥速度”这种培育自我发展能力的独特模式,以特有的内生性经济增长模式助推中部城市群自我发展能力在未来能获得提升。
[Abstract]:In recent years, against the background of the rise of the central region, the six central provinces have achieved a great leap forward in all aspects of their work. The economy has steadily improved, the society has made all-round progress, the people's living standards have been improved, and the ecological environment and living environment have been gradually improved. Economist Fan Gang once said: "the central region is the region with the most potential for development and the most room for growth in the future." these are all inseparable from the central government's high attention to the central region and its policy bias. At the same time, the problem of self-development ability in the process of re-development has attracted people's attention. In the final analysis, if the central region wants to develop steadily and solve the problems and contradictions in the course of development fundamentally, it must strengthen the self-development ability of the central region. Since the beginning of the 10th Five-Year Plan, the central government has put forward the strategy of the rise of the central region. All the provinces in the central region have deeply excavated the strategic connotation and made efforts to cope with the development opportunities and challenges it brings. It is believed that the core of the development of the central region in the future is to strive to create urban agglomerations. To achieve the overall development of the whole region. Under the new situation, the key period of carrying out the strategy of the rise of the central region in depth must be to strengthen the self-development ability as the main line, and to focus on the development of the urban agglomeration becomes the bridgehead for the development of the central region. How to get rid of the existing predicament and realize the qualitative leap is an important part of the rise of central China in the future. The most fundamental way out for regional sustainable development is to tap its own development potential capital, raise the level of economic, social, scientific and technological levels in the region, and stimulate the development of the whole region by stimulating regional endogenous forces. That is, to achieve regional sustainable development through the promotion of regional self-development ability. Urban agglomeration, as a benchmark to drive the rise of central China, should excavate the new economy of urban agglomeration and serve as a booster to promote the ability of regional self-development. From the perspective of the meso perspective, this study regards the regional self-development ability as a comprehensive ability of the interaction of the four dimensions of competence, and adopts a combination of theoretical research and empirical analysis, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, and so on. Through selecting appropriate inspection indexes, the evaluation index system of self-development ability of urban agglomeration in central China is constructed, and the self-development ability of central urban agglomeration in three years is calculated by using the statistical data of each city in 2007 / 2010 and 2013. The results show that the self-development ability of the central urban agglomeration is on the low side, the development is not balanced, and the five sub-urban agglomerations of the central urban agglomeration are also unbalanced; The internal structure of the self-development ability system is not reasonable, and there is no consistency among the four dimensions. Especially, the dimension of innovation cultivation ability is too low and becomes a short board to improve the level of self-development ability, which is seriously out of balance with the other three dimensions. How to make the internal structure reasonable in the future development and form a high level of coordinated development level will become a problem to be solved. The self-development ability and internal four dimensions of central urban agglomeration and each sub-urban agglomeration have their own obvious evolution trend in time and space. At present, the most important and key task is to increase the cultivation of the self-development ability of central urban agglomeration, and to take the direction, opportunity and motive force of the self-development ability of the central urban agglomeration. As the four basic elements of the development of the urban agglomeration in central China, the foundation has created a unique model of cultivating self-development ability, such as "Hefei Model" and "Hefei Speed". The unique endogenous economic growth model can help the central urban agglomeration to develop itself in the future.
【学位授予单位】：山西师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

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