东北振兴政策效果评估

发布时间：2019-01-30 14:30

【摘要】：该文利用中国271个地级市1994-2014年的面板数据,采用PSM-DID方法对东北振兴战略的政策效果进行检验,重点分析东北振兴政策的短期刺激与长期失衡效应。结果表明:首先,东北振兴政策的实施显著地增加了东北地区经济总量,短期刺激效应明显;其次,东北振兴政策的实施并没有显著增强东北地区的全要素生产率;最后,东北振兴政策的实施显著恶化了东北地区的产业结构,长期失衡效应明显。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 271 prefecture-level cities in China from 1994 to 2014, this paper uses PSM-DID method to test the policy effect of northeast revitalization strategy, and analyzes the short-term stimulus and long-term imbalance effect of Northeast revitalization policy. The results show that: first, the implementation of the Northeast revitalization policy significantly increased the total economic volume of the Northeast region, and the short-term stimulus effect was obvious; secondly, the implementation of the Northeast revitalization policy did not significantly enhance the total factor productivity of the Northeast region. Finally, the implementation of Northeast revitalization policy has significantly deteriorated the industrial structure of Northeast China, and the long-term imbalance effect is obvious.
【作者单位】：渤海大学经法学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“我国金融业资产错配测量与风险评估研究(编号:14JJD790028)”;教育部青年项目“购买力平价视阈下人民币实际汇率波动的识别、诊断与预测(编号:13YJC790122)” 辽宁省社科基金青年项目“中国内需市场的基本结构研究(编号:L13CJL027)”的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：F127

【相似文献】