基于空间计量的云南省县域经济空间格局演变

发布时间：2019-05-14 04:08

【摘要】：以空间计量的方法论为指导,基于云南省1985—2013年统计年鉴数据,采用探索性空间数据分析、空间变异函数、面板数据空间回归模型,从时空二维角度解析云南省县域经济空间格局演变及机理。结果表明:1云南省不同县域间经济空间格局关联性显著为正,出现了发展水平相似县域相邻分布的空间集聚效应;2云南省县域经济格局呈现典型的空间二元结构,两极分化明显,经济格局变动幅度不大;3云南省县域经济空间格局演变同时受到随机性和结构性因素影响,其空间分异主要体现为东北—西南方向,而西北—东南方向则较为均衡;4从影响云南省县域经济空间格局的因素看,工业化水平、产业结构、固定资产投资以及财政支出较显著,其中财政支出影响最为明显。研究最后提出了云南省县域经济空间格局协调发展的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Guided by the methodology of spatial measurement, based on the statistical yearbook data of Yunnan Province from 1985 to 2013, exploratory spatial data analysis, spatial variation function and panel data spatial regression model are adopted. This paper analyzes the evolution and mechanism of the spatial pattern of county economy in Yunnan Province from the two-dimensional point of view of time and space. The results show that: (1) the correlation of economic spatial pattern among different counties in Yunnan Province is significantly positive, and there is a spatial agglomeration effect of adjacent distribution in counties with similar development level; (2) the county economic pattern of Yunnan Province presents a typical spatial dual structure, the polarization is obvious, and the economic pattern changes little; (3) the evolution of the spatial pattern of county economy in Yunnan Province is affected by both random and structural factors, and its spatial differentiation is mainly reflected in the northeast-southwest direction, while the northwest-southeast direction is more balanced; (4) from the point of view of the factors that affect the spatial pattern of county economy in Yunnan Province, the industrialization level, industrial structure, fixed assets investment and fiscal expenditure are more significant, among which the influence of fiscal expenditure is the most obvious. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions for the coordinated development of county economic spatial pattern in Yunnan Province are put forward.
【作者单位】：南京大学地理与海洋科学学院;南京大学建筑与城市规划学院;漯河市城乡规划局;攀枝花市旅游局;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(11BSH058)
【分类号】：F127

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