东北地区县域经济发展水平的时空差异及其影响因素分析

发布时间：2019-05-28 12:36

【摘要】：国民经济的发展在很大程度上受县域经济发展水平的制约。开展县域经济的相关研究，有助于合理制定县域经济发展战略，实现区域内最优资源配置、最佳空间组合、相关体系构建和对外经济贸易的发展。县域经济的健康协调、可持续发展，能够实现社会效益、经济效益和生态效益的有机统一。东北地区曾是中国重工业基地的摇篮、商品粮基地和重要资源基地，为我国的建设和发展做出了卓越贡献。改革开放后，东北地区县域经济在步入发展的快车道的同时，还存在诸如地区内部缺乏协调等问题，县域经济差异日益突显。基于上述背景，本文在研习县域经济、县域经济差异、区域经济协调发展等概念以及增长极理论、中心—外围理论、循环累积因果理论等已有理论的基础上，采用标准差、极差、变异系数对东北地区县域经济发展水平的相对差异和绝对差异进行分析。选取因子分析方法建立综合评价指标体系对东北地区县域单元经济发展水平之间的差异进行探索。应用ArcGIS软件将整个东北地区10个年份的县域经济综合得分数据与矢量化地图相结合，对东北地区县域经济差异进行空间可视化表达。采用探索性空间分析方法对东北地区县域经济发展水平的总体格局特征进行分析。最后从自然条件与区位因素、历史发展基础、区域发展战略与政策、交通运输条件四个方面对东北地区县域经济差异产生及演变的原因进行评价和分析。通过对研究对象的分析，本文最后得出三个结论：第一、东北地区县域经济的标准差、极差、变异系数呈现波动上升态势，绝对差异的变化大致分为三个不同阶段，相对差异总体呈递减趋势。县域经济发展的极化过程分析表明，东北地区县域经济的极化现象不断加强。第二、东北地区县域经济综合得分的地域分异和局部集聚特征明显。东北地区县域经济综合得分的GIS分区表明，，综合经济得分较高的县域多分布于交通要道上，呈现“T”字型分布。东北地区县域经济发展模式仍以依托中心城市和区域增长极为主，极化效应逐步扩大。第三、热点区域的格局相对稳定，热点区多是以沈阳市、大连市为核心的周边县域构成的环状或圈状的空间结构。冷点区域则发生了较大变更。大连市及其附近县域在经济发展过程中的领先优势日益突出，极具活力。第四、自然条件、区位因素、历史发展基础、区域发展战略与政策等对东北地区县域经济发展水平差异影响较大。
[Abstract]:To a great extent, the development of national economy is restricted by the development level of county economy. The research on county economy is helpful to formulate the development strategy of county economy reasonably, to realize the optimal allocation of resources, the best spatial combination, the construction of related system and the development of foreign economy and trade in the region. The healthy coordination and sustainable development of county economy can realize the organic unity of social benefit, economic benefit and ecological benefit. Northeast China used to be the cradle, commodity grain base and important resource base of China's heavy industry base, which made outstanding contributions to the construction and development of our country. After the reform and opening up, the county economy in Northeast China has entered the fast lane of development, at the same time, there are still some problems, such as the lack of coordination within the region, and the differences of county economy are becoming more and more prominent. Based on the above background, this paper adopts standard deviation on the basis of studying the concepts of county economy, county economic difference, coordinated development of regional economy, growth pole theory, center-periphery theory, cyclic accumulation causality theory and so on. The relative and absolute differences of county economic development level in Northeast China are analyzed by means of extreme difference and coefficient of variation. The factor analysis method is selected to establish a comprehensive evaluation index system to explore the difference between the development level of county unit economy in Northeast China. Using ArcGIS software, the comprehensive score data of county economy in 10 years in Northeast China are combined with vector map, and the spatial visualization expression of county economic differences in Northeast China is carried out. The exploratory spatial analysis method is used to analyze the overall pattern characteristics of county economic development level in Northeast China. Finally, the reasons for the emergence and evolution of county economic differences in Northeast China are evaluated and analyzed from four aspects: natural conditions and location factors, historical development basis, regional development strategy and policy, and transportation conditions. Through the analysis of the research object, this paper finally draws three conclusions: first, the standard deviation, extreme difference, coefficient of variation of county economy in Northeast China show a fluctuating and rising trend, and the change of absolute difference is roughly divided into three different stages. The relative difference shows a decreasing trend as a whole. The analysis of the polarization process of county economy development shows that the polarization phenomenon of county economy in Northeast China is strengthening. Second, the regional differentiation and local agglomeration characteristics of the comprehensive score of county economy in Northeast China are obvious. The GIS division of the comprehensive score of county economy in Northeast China shows that most of the counties with high comprehensive economic score are distributed on the main traffic roads, showing the distribution of "T" font. The county economic development model in Northeast China is still relying on the central city and regional growth pole, and the polarization effect is gradually expanding. Third, the pattern of hot spots is relatively stable, and most of the hot spots are annular or circular spatial structures composed of surrounding counties with Shenyang and Dalian as the core. The cold point area has changed greatly. Dalian and its nearby counties have become increasingly prominent and dynamic in the process of economic development. Fourth, natural conditions, location factors, historical development basis, regional development strategy and policy have great influence on the difference of county economic development level in Northeast China.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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