宏观经济2017年步入中高速稳态增长轨道
发布时间：2019-07-15 09:36
【摘要】：2015年是我国宏观经济结构转型、微观变化加剧的一年。2016年将是持续探底的一年。根据模型预测,2015年我国GDP增速为6.9%,CPI为1.4%。2016年GDP增速为6.6%,CPI为1.3%,个别季度GDP增速可能跌破6.5%。在国内外经济周期因素作用下,经济下行的底部以及底部深度及持续的长度,还存在不确定性。经过2015年~2016年全面培育新的增长点和新的动力机制,预测2017年后期宏观经济将出现平稳反弹,逐渐步入中高速稳态增长的轨道之中。
[Abstract]:2015 is the year of China's macro-economic structure transformation and the micro-change is exacerbated. 2016 will be the year of continuous bottoming. According to the model forecast, China's GDP growth rate in 2015 is 6.9%and CPI is 1.4%. In 2016, GDP growth rate was 6.6%, CPI was 1.3%, and GDP growth in individual quarters might fall below 6.5%. Under the action of economic cycle factors at home and abroad, there is still uncertainty in the bottom of economic downturn, bottom depth and continuous length. After fully cultivating new growth points and new dynamic mechanism from 2015 to 2016, it is predicted that the macroeconomic economy will rebound steadily in late 2017, gradually entering into the track of medium and high-speed steady state growth.
【分类号】：F124
[Abstract]:2015 is the year of China's macro-economic structure transformation and the micro-change is exacerbated. 2016 will be the year of continuous bottoming. According to the model forecast, China's GDP growth rate in 2015 is 6.9%and CPI is 1.4%. In 2016, GDP growth rate was 6.6%, CPI was 1.3%, and GDP growth in individual quarters might fall below 6.5%. Under the action of economic cycle factors at home and abroad, there is still uncertainty in the bottom of economic downturn, bottom depth and continuous length. After fully cultivating new growth points and new dynamic mechanism from 2015 to 2016, it is predicted that the macroeconomic economy will rebound steadily in late 2017, gradually entering into the track of medium and high-speed steady state growth.
【分类号】：F124
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