高速公路交通安全分析及评价研究

发布时间：2018-03-07 16:52

本文选题：高速公路　切入点：交通安全　出处：《长安大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来，随着我国高速公路里程的不断增长，，交通安全形势日趋严峻，交通事故死亡率近十年来高居世界首位。高速公路交通事故频繁发生不仅威胁着人民生命财产安全，同时也限制了高速公路使用性能的正常发挥。因此，对高速公路交通安全进行分析及评价研究具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。本文就高速公路交通安全评价问题展开研究，旨在建立一个有效的高速公路交通安全评价指标体系，对高速公路交通安全状况进行客观、全面、系统的分析和评价，及时发现问题，找出不足，采取措施，提前预防，提高高速公路交通安全性，保障人民的生命财产安全，促进经济社会的和谐发展。本文以当前我国高速公路交通安全现状为基础，从系统的角度出发，对我国高速公路交通事故特性进行了分析，并对高速公路交通安全影响因素进行了全面、系统的分析。通过对高速公路的人、车辆、道路、交通环境等诸多因素的分析，确定了高速公路交通事故诱发的主要因素，依据评价指标体系的建立原则和评价指标的选取方法，建立了高速公路交通安全评价指标体系，对评价指标作量化处理，并用层次分析法来确定各层评价指标的权重。在综合分析比较了各种评价方法的基础上，采用模糊综合评价法，建立高速公路交通安全评价模型，并对高速公路交通安全状况进行综合评价。最后，结合具体实例分析，验证了所建立的高速公路交通安全评价体系和评价模型具有较强的适用性和可行性。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the increasing mileage of expressway in our country, the traffic safety situation is becoming more and more serious, and the death rate of traffic accident is the highest in the world in the past ten years. The frequent occurrence of expressway traffic accident not only threatens the safety of people's life and property. At the same time, it also restricts the normal performance of expressway. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to analyze and evaluate the expressway traffic safety. The purpose of this paper is to establish an effective evaluation index system of expressway traffic safety, and to analyze and evaluate the expressway traffic safety situation objectively, comprehensively and systematically. Find out the problem in time, find out the insufficiency, take measures to prevent ahead of time, improve the safety of highway traffic, ensure the safety of people's life and property, and promote the harmonious development of economy and society. Based on the current situation of expressway traffic safety in China, this paper analyzes the characteristics of expressway traffic accidents in China from the point of view of system, and makes a comprehensive analysis of the influencing factors of expressway traffic safety. Through the analysis of many factors, such as people, vehicles, roads, traffic environment and so on, the main factors causing expressway traffic accidents are determined. According to the establishment principle of evaluation index system and the selection method of evaluation index, the evaluation index system of expressway traffic safety is established, and the quantitative treatment of evaluation index is made. Based on the comprehensive analysis and comparison of various evaluation methods, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to establish the evaluation model of expressway traffic safety. Finally, the evaluation system and the evaluation model of expressway traffic safety are proved to be applicable and feasible.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：U492.8

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