基于本质安全理论的双跑道运行安全评估方法研究

发布时间：2018-03-10 14:39

本文选题：本质安全　切入点：双跑道　出处：《中国民用航空飞行学院》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着航空运输量的增长,新建机场跑道成为解决空中交通拥挤最直接最有效的方法之一。作为空管运行单位,要为任何因新建、改扩建跑道和滑行道带来的风险问题做安全评估。本文基于本质安全理论的思想,使用蒙特卡洛方法建立定量评估双跑道运行中跑道侵入风险概率的模型,并用于评估双跑道跑滑结构的设计是否合理。首先,应用传统的危险源识别方法,针对某一双跑道运行机场的塔台工作制作安全检查表、危险源控制单,开展双跑道运行中的危险源辨识工作,取得良好效果,可供双跑道运行单位参考借鉴。其次,将跑道的摩擦系数、承运航空器的类型及跑道与滑行道的相对位置等客观因素纳入考虑,建立基于本质安全的双跑道运行安全评估模型。通过计算机语言python实现程序设计,分析验证了模型的有效性。最后,应用某一双跑道机场的数据,计算摩擦系数、航空器性能和跑滑结构设计对跑道侵入风险的影响。得出以下结论:(1)该机场检测跑道摩擦系数的最低值为0.47;(2)C型机在该机场更容易发生跑道侵入;(3)该机场的垂直滑行道位置距离跑道入口的最佳数值是1150米,停止灯在滑行道上的位置距离跑道中线的最佳数值为120米,该机场的这个垂直滑行道位置设置合理。
[Abstract]:As air traffic increases, new airstrips become one of the most direct and effective ways to solve air traffic congestion. Based on the idea of essential safety theory, Monte Carlo method is used to establish a model to quantitatively evaluate the probability of runway intrusion risk in the operation of dual runways. And it is used to evaluate whether the design of double-runway running-slip structure is reasonable. First of all, the traditional method of hazard source identification is used to make a safety check table and hazard source control sheet for the tower work of a double-runway running airport. The identification of hazard sources in the operation of double runways has been carried out, and good results have been obtained, which can be used for reference by the running units of dual runways. Secondly, the friction coefficient of the runways is put forward. Considering the objective factors such as the type of aircraft and the relative position of runway and taxiway, the safety evaluation model of dual runway based on essential safety is established. The program design is realized by computer language python. The validity of the model is verified by the analysis. Finally, the friction coefficient is calculated by using the data of a double runway airport. The effects of aircraft performance and running-slip structure design on runway intrusion risk. The following conclusion is drawn: 1) the minimum value of the runway friction coefficient detected by the airport is 0.47 C aircraft which is more likely to intrude into the runway at the airport) the vertical slide of the airport is more likely to occur. The optimum value of the lane position from the runway entrance is 1,150 metres, The optimum value of the stop light on the taxiway is 120 meters from the runway center. The vertical taxiway position of the airport is reasonable.
【学位授予单位】：中国民用航空飞行学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：V355;V328

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