矿井突水平行应急管理方法研究

发布时间：2018-03-14 22:39

本文选题：矿井突水　切入点：ACP　出处：《西安建筑科技大学》2015年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着地下采矿深度增加,矿井水文地质条件越来越复杂,矿井突水问题日益严重,矿井的防治水形势和应急管理难度逐步升级。矿井突水的应急管理问题是迫切需要解决的问题,也是国内外专家学者研究的热点和难点。矿井突发水灾事件前兆不充分,具有复杂性特性和次生衍生损害,其破坏性较大,借助传统管理方法难以有效应对,有必要研究有效的矿井水灾应急管理理论和方法,为矿井突发水灾事件应急响应提供强有力管控工具和智力支持。本文在前人重要研究成果的基础上,提出采用复杂巨系统研究的人工社会-计算实验-平行执行,即ACP方法,解决矿井突水应急管理问题,试图给出一种针对矿井突发水灾事件的应急管理理论和方法,达到有效协同和集成化管控,具体包括以下几个方面内容:(1)矿井突水平行应急管理框架模型。提出利用人工系统方法对现场实际情景进行建模,应急实验对应急处置策略进行仿真分析评估,平行执行实施应急方案并同步于人工系统的理论和方法,给出了基于时间轴模型的4D时空管理方法,为现场状态的时空管理提供可行途径。平行应急管理系统是一种动态演化系统,通过对人工系统进行计算模拟、涌现观察,实现对应急控制策略的零风险和低成本的快速实验,可为现场状态的管理和控制寻求较优方案,通过平行执行,人工系统可以直接影响或改变实际系统的运行方向,达到认识自然、理解自然、利用自然和改造自然的目的。(2)人工矿井突水系统研究。通过研究“实例型”和“非实例型”的人工系统分类方法以及多代理系统建模等理论,在定义矿井突水系统边界及内涵基础上,进行角色建模和代理映射,并提出基于代理的海量数据集成技术实现代理数据集成,代理订阅模型(APSM)完成代理之间的协调和联动,从而构建基于多代理的人工矿井突水系统模型。(3)矿井突水计算实验研究。由于突水试验代价巨大,无法进行突水及应急响应实验,因此,如何实现突水应急管理领域中的实验问题,是促进该领域发展的最关键问题之一。论文提出使用图探测法进行排水管网智能计算,利用三角剖分、块段分割和八分圆椭球搜索技术进行突水水流蔓延计算,借助A*算法初始化人员的最优逃生路线。试图从“简单一致”观点出发,以矿井突水人工系统为载体,以APSM为协调方法,从各简单代理行为的局部交叉到整体涌现,实现矿井突水情景的时空演化计算。(4)平行应急管理系统研究。从常态下的突水感知和非常态下的计算实验式自动化预案两个方面,研究探讨了矿井突水平行应急管理系统及其集成技术。在常态下借助物联网技术,通过多物理场网络化分布式监测,依托信息融合理论和方法,结合人工纠正方式同步人工系统,并提供数据采集、分析利用、预警预测、应急策略评估和应急培训支持,在非常态下使用计算实验式自动化预案方法实现应急预案制定和响应,基于数字化广播技术实现应急策略响应和执行。矿井突水平行应急管理方法在神华神东锦界煤矿进行了初步应用尝试,取得了较好的效果,具有较大的推广价值。
[Abstract]:With the increasing depth of underground mining, mine hydrogeological condition is more and more complicated, water inrush problem is becoming increasingly serious, mine water prevention and control situation and emergency management difficulty gradually upgraded. Emergency management of mine water inrush is an urgent need to solve the problem, the domestic and foreign experts and scholars research hotspot. The mine emergency flood event is not the precursor well, with complex characteristics and secondary damage, the damage is bigger, the traditional management method is difficult to respond effectively, it is necessary to study the effective mine flood emergency management theory and methods, provide a powerful control tool and intellectual support for the mine emergency flood emergency response. In this paper, the important results of previous studies, using complex study on the giant system of artificial society - Computational Experiments - parallel execution, namely ACP method, to solve the water inrush problem of emergency management, trying to give A sudden flood in mine emergency management theory and methods, to achieve the effective coordination and integrated management, specifically including the following aspects: (1) parallel emergency management framework model of mine water inrush. The use of artificial methods of the actual situation in the system modeling of emergency disposal strategies are proposed, simulation analysis and evaluation of emergency the parallel implementation of the emergency plan and implementation theory and method of synchronization in artificial systems, 4D time management method based on the model of time axis is given, providing a feasible way to space management site status. For emergency management system is a dynamic evolution system based on artificial simulation system, the emergence of observation. The emergency control strategy of zero risk and low cost rapid experiment, for the management and control of the state to seek the optimal scheme, through parallel execution, artificial system To influence or change the direction of the actual system, to understand the nature, understand nature, use and transform nature. (2) research on mine water inrush system. By studying the example of "artificial" and "non examples of" artificial classification system and multi agent system modeling theory, and on the border the connotation of water inrush system on the basis of the definition, role modeling and mapping agency, and puts forward the agent to achieve data integration data integration technology based on proxy, proxy subscription model (APSM) to complete the coordination between agents and linkage, so as to construct the artificial water inrush system model based on multi agent. (3) experimental study on Calculation of mine water inrush due to water inrush. The test cost is huge, not water inrush and emergency response experiment, therefore, how to realize the problems in the field of water inrush in emergency management, is to promote the development of the field One of the key issues. This paper use detection method for the drainage network intelligent computing, using triangulation, block segmentation and eight round ellipsoid search technology for water inrush current spread calculation, based on optimal A* algorithm to initialize the personnel evacuation route. Try to start from the "simple" point of view, the artificial system of mine water inrush carrier, coordination method based on APSM, from the simple act of agency local cross to the whole emergence of time-space of mine water inrush scenarios of evolutionary computation. (4) research on management system of parallel emergency. From two aspects under normal and non normal perception of water inrush calculation under experimental research on Mine Automation plans. Water inrush parallel emergency management system and its integration technology. The use of networking technology in the normal condition, through the multi physical field network distributed monitoring, based on information fusion theory and methods, combined with artificial correction Synchronous artificial systems, and provide data collection, analysis the early warning and forecast, emergency strategy assessment and emergency training support, using experimental method to realize the calculation automation plan making emergency plans and response in the very state, realize the digital broadcasting technology of emergency response and strategy execution based on the mine water inrush in Shendong Coal Mine Jinjie parallel preliminarily application of emergency management methods, and achieved good results, it is worth popularizing.

【学位授予单位】：西安建筑科技大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TD745

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