煤矿安全风险预警模型研究及应用效益分析

发布时间：2018-06-04 00:24

本文选题：煤矿安全 + 风险预警　；参考：《中国地质大学（北京）》2014年博士论文

【摘要】：与发达国家相比，我国煤矿安全事故发生率相对较高。瓦斯、水害等安全事故时有发生，这既与我国煤矿复杂的开采条件有关，也与煤矿生产过程中对致灾因素的分析、预测预警及风险预控管理水平有关。部分煤炭企业从保障安全生产方面出发，引进了大量安全监测设施和信息化管理软件，这些软硬件设施为煤矿灾害预警与防治和安全管理提供了新手段。但是，这些软硬件设施所提供的安全风险预警信息往往局限于单因素数据，数据信息的时空特性及与煤矿已有地质条件的关系并未得到充分挖掘，其潜在的价值还远未得到深入应用。为进一步提高煤矿安全管理水平，实现对水、火、瓦斯等多种灾害的全面预测预警，本文综合分析了煤矿安全方面的研究文献，做了大量的现场调研、数据收集分析工作，基于煤矿安全生产的实际工作要求，构建了安全风险评价指标体系；建立了水、火、瓦斯等煤矿安全风险评判预警模型；通过软硬件集成技术，以评判预警模型为基础，，搭建了煤矿安全风险预警应用系统。并通过多专家访谈的形式对系统应用结果进行评价，将评价结果导入到效益分析模型中，进行了系统应用效益评价。由效益评价结果看出：煤矿安全风险预警模型应用系统是实现煤矿安全风险超前预测预警的重要手段。它将使企业在创新管理、优化运营、降低成本、提高生产效率等方面得到巨大提升，并将大大降低安全事故发生率，提高了煤炭企业的企业效益、社会效益和经济效益。是科技强安、科技创效，保障煤炭企业向着自动化、信息化两化融合发展的重要保证，具有很高的推广应用价值。
[Abstract]:Compared with the developed countries, the incidence of coal mine safety accidents in China is relatively high. Gas, water hazards and other safety accidents occur from time to time, which is related to the complex mining conditions of coal mines in China, as well as to the analysis of disaster-causing factors, prediction and early warning and the level of risk pre-control management in the production process of coal mines. Some coal enterprises have introduced a large number of safety monitoring facilities and information management software from the aspect of ensuring safe production. These software and hardware facilities provide a new means for early warning, prevention and control of coal mine disasters and safety management. However, the security risk early warning information provided by these hardware and software facilities is often limited to single factor data, and the temporal and spatial characteristics of the data information and the relationship between the data information and the existing geological conditions in coal mines are not fully excavated. Its potential value is far from being applied in depth. In order to further improve the level of coal mine safety management and realize the comprehensive prediction and early warning of water, fire, gas and other disasters, this paper comprehensively analyzes the research literature on coal mine safety, and does a lot of field investigation and data collection and analysis work. Based on the practical requirements of coal mine safety production, this paper constructs a safety risk evaluation index system, establishes a water, fire, gas and other coal mine safety risk evaluation and early warning model, through software and hardware integration technology, based on the evaluation of early warning model, The application system of coal mine safety risk warning is built. The system application results are evaluated by multi-expert interview, and the evaluation results are introduced into the benefit analysis model, and the system application benefit evaluation is carried out. From the result of benefit evaluation, it can be seen that the application system of coal mine safety risk warning model is an important means to realize the coal mine safety risk forecast and early warning. It will greatly improve the enterprise's innovation management, optimize the operation, reduce the cost and improve the production efficiency, and will greatly reduce the incidence of safety accidents, and improve the efficiency, social and economic benefits of coal enterprises. It is an important guarantee for the development of coal enterprises towards automation and information integration, which has a high value of popularization and application.
【学位授予单位】：中国地质大学（北京）
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TD76

【参考文献】