军民航空域安全评估中的碰撞风险研究

发布时间：2018-06-10 01:04

本文选题：安全工程 + 空域安全评估　；参考：《安全与环境学报》2017年05期

【摘要】：碰撞风险是空域安全评估的重要内容。为保证军民航的安全飞行,通过对民航Event模型碰撞风险的研究,构建了军航训练空域与民航航路的碰撞风险模型;根据军航飞机的飞行特点,建立了军航飞机侧向位置偏差概率模型;结合民航飞机的横向位置偏差概率模型重新计算Event模型中的碰撞盒穿越间隔片频率(GERh);选取某一战术动作对军民侧向碰撞风险进行仿真,确定其安全间隔;通过对飞行过程中各个关键点碰撞风险的研究,对空域的使用提出建议,并验证了理论的实用性。结果表明,当前10 km的安全间隔标准并不能符合规定的安全目标等级,至少需要再增加7 km的安全间隔才能使整个飞行过程均满足要求。
[Abstract]:Collision risk is an important part of airspace safety assessment. In order to ensure the safe flight of military civil aviation, the collision risk model of military aviation training airspace and civil aviation route is constructed by studying the collision risk of civil aviation event model, and according to the flight characteristics of military aircraft, the collision risk model of military aviation training airspace and civil aviation route is constructed. The probability model of lateral position deviation of military aircraft is established, the probability model of lateral position deviation of civil aviation aircraft is combined with the probability model of lateral position deviation of civil aviation aircraft to recalculate the frequency of collision box traversing spacer in the event model, and a tactical action is selected to simulate the risk of military and civilian lateral collision. By studying the collision risk of each key point in flight, the paper gives some suggestions on the use of airspace, and verifies the practicability of the theory. The results show that the current safety interval standard of 10 km can not meet the specified safety target level, and the safety interval of at least 7 km should be increased to make the whole flight process meet the requirements.
【作者单位】：空军工程大学空管领航学院;
【基金】：国家空管科研课题(GKG201410005)
【分类号】：V328

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