基于ISM的道路交通安全影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-06-10 07:31

本文选题：安全管理工程 + 道路　；参考：《安全与环境学报》2017年05期

【摘要】：为提高交通安全管理水平,促进交通的可持续发展。基于解释结构模型原理,综合考虑车、路和环境因素,构建了影响道路交通安全的影响因素结构模型。该模型不但能够弥补分析结构要素之间内在影响机制的不足,而且对于研究道路交通安全结构要素之间的层次性和复杂性有天然的优势。数据来源于由13位专家构成的ISM小组,其中7位为来自高校从事交通安全研究的教授,6位为来自北京市、上海市、广州市、武汉市等交通运输委员会的高层管理者,保证了数据的科学性和可靠性。采用解释结构图分析车、路和环境各影响因素之间的关系,结果表明,众多因素会对道路交通安全产生影响,车辆技术条件、定期检验合格率、车辆救援设备的完备状况、安全设施是制约道路交通安全的直接影响因素,道路限速、道路负荷度、大客(或货车)比例、交通量、交通监控是影响道路交通安全的间接因素,车辆超限(超载)状况、车流密度、道路路面类型、道路设施完备性、天气状况、单向车道数和地形特征是影响道路交通安全的最根本因素。为提高道路交通安全管理水平,首先,应进一步完善《道路交通安全法实施条例》,加强对车辆定期检验的监督;其次,健全道路信息公示制度,提升交通监控水平,引入相关路段道路限速、负荷度、交通量动态信息显示及预警机制;最后,加强车辆超限(超载)及车流密度的监控,健全道路设施的配套制度。
[Abstract]:In order to improve the level of traffic safety management and promote the sustainable development of traffic. Based on the theory of explanatory structural model and considering the factors of vehicle, road and environment, the structural model of influencing factors on road traffic safety is constructed. This model can not only make up for the deficiency of analyzing the internal influence mechanism among the structural elements, but also has a natural advantage for studying the hierarchy and complexity of the structural elements of road traffic safety. The data comes from an ISM team of 13 experts, seven of whom are professors engaged in traffic safety studies in colleges and universities. Six are top executives of the transport committees in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Wuhan, etc. Ensure the scientific nature and reliability of the data. This paper analyzes the relationship among the factors affecting the vehicle, road and environment by using the explanatory structure diagram. The results show that many factors will affect the road traffic safety, the technical condition of the vehicle, the qualified rate of periodic inspection, the complete condition of the vehicle rescue equipment, Safety facilities are the direct factors that restrict road traffic safety. Road speed limit, road load, ratio of large passenger (or truck), traffic volume and traffic monitoring are indirect factors affecting road traffic safety. Traffic density, road surface type, road facilities completeness, weather conditions, one-way lane number and terrain characteristics are the most fundamental factors affecting road traffic safety. In order to improve the management level of road traffic safety, first of all, we should further improve the regulations on the implementation of the Road Traffic Safety Law and strengthen the supervision over the regular inspection of vehicles; secondly, we should improve the road information publicity system and improve the level of traffic monitoring and control. Introduce the road speed limit, load, traffic volume dynamic information display and early warning mechanism; finally, strengthen the monitoring of vehicle overload (overload) and vehicle flow density, improve the supporting system of road facilities.
【作者单位】：北京工业大学经济与管理学院;河南财经政法大学金融学院;
【分类号】：U492.8

【相似文献】