基于ISM模型的多式联运网络风险因素结构分析

发布时间：2018-12-13 03:50

【摘要】：首次通过解析结构模型对多式联运网络的风险因素结构问题进行了深入研究,旨在揭示多式联运网络风险因素之间的复杂层级关系。以多式联运网络为研究对象,首先分析了多式联运网络风险内涵,接着从外部和内部因素两方面对多式联运网络风险因素的构成进行辨识,进而构建了多式联运网络风险因素的多级递阶解析结构模型,最终探究了多式联运网络风险因素的结构及层级关系。结果表明,多式联运网络风险影响因素分为5个层次,其中顶层因素指多式联运网络的运行安全,最直接因素包括外部环境和网络节点,关键性因素包括载运工具、联运线路及技术手段,基础性因素包括经济发展状况、政策法律法规及人员能力素质,而深层次因素是组织管理因素。
[Abstract]:For the first time, the problem of risk factor structure of multimodal transport network is studied deeply by analytic structure model, in order to reveal the complex hierarchical relationship between the risk factors of multimodal transport network. Taking multimodal transport network as the research object, this paper first analyzes the connotation of multimodal transport network risk, and then identifies the composition of multimodal transport network risk factors from external and internal factors. Furthermore, the multilevel hierarchical analytical structure model of multimodal transport network risk factors is constructed, and the structure and hierarchical relationship of multimodal transport network risk factors are finally explored. The results show that the risk factors of multimodal transport network can be divided into five levels, among which the top-level factor refers to the operation safety of multimodal transport network, the most direct factors include external environment and network nodes, and the key factors include transportation tools. The basic factors include economic development, policies, laws and regulations, and the quality of personnel, while the deep-seated factors are organizational and management factors.
【作者单位】：北京交通大学交通运输学院;交通运输部科学研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71390332)
【分类号】：X951

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