基于可拓学的新加坡海峡航行环境安全评估
发布时间：2019-01-04 14:59
【摘要】：海上运输高效、清洁、安全,承担着全球贸易中90%的货物运输。伴随着海运业的发展,海上运输风险也不断增大。日益繁忙的海上交通以及人们对海上人命、财产、环境安全的高标准和新要求,海运安全评估迅速发展。 新加坡海峡是世界上最繁忙的通航水域之一,世界上连接700多个港口的400多条航线通过新加坡海峡。我国至欧洲、中东、非洲的绝大多数商晶贸易航线通过新加坡海峡,大约80%的原油进口量运输途经新加坡海峡。海峡内航行环境与航行安全受到国际海事组织、海峡沿岸国及海峡使用国的高度重视。 论文结合新加坡海峡交通实况调查及对船长及船舶驾驶员的问卷调查,分析了海峡航行环境的特点,根据可拓学理论建立了最优点在区间右侧的关联函数,以层次分析法及简单关联函数赋值法确定组合权重,完成了新加坡海峡不同区域内航路的航行环境安全评估。 基于可拓学的新加坡海峡航行环境安全评估,一方面能丰富新加坡海峡航行环境的安全评估方法,另一方面探索基于可拓学的评估方法的应用新领域。研究新加坡海峡的通航环境安全,探索海峡内风险分布规律,有助于减少因交通事故造成航道堵塞的概率,促进海峡内船舶安全航行。
[Abstract]:Sea transport is efficient, clean and safe, and it is responsible for 90% of global trade. With the development of maritime transportation industry, the risk of maritime transport is also increasing. Due to the increasingly busy maritime traffic and the high standards and new requirements for human life, property and environmental safety at sea, maritime safety assessment has developed rapidly. The Singapore Strait is one of the busiest navigable waters in the world. More than 400 routes connecting more than 700 ports pass through the Singapore Strait. The vast majority of commercial trade routes from China to Europe, the Middle East and Africa pass through the Singapore Strait, and about 80% of the crude oil imports are transported through the Singapore Strait. The navigation environment and navigation safety in the Straits are highly valued by the IMO, the countries bordering straits and the countries that use the Straits. In this paper, the characteristics of navigation environment in the Straits are analyzed, and the correlation function of the best in the right side of the channel is established according to the extenics theory, which is based on the survey of Singapore Strait traffic and the questionnaire survey on the captain and the ship driver. The combined weight is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and simple correlation function assignment method, and the safety assessment of navigation environment in different areas of the Singapore Strait is completed. The safety assessment of navigation environment in Singapore Strait based on Extenics can enrich the safety assessment method of navigation environment in Singapore Strait on the one hand and explore the new application field of the evaluation method based on Extenics on the other. The study of navigation environment safety in the Singapore Strait and the exploration of risk distribution in the Straits will help to reduce the probability of waterway blockage caused by traffic accidents and promote the safe navigation of ships in the Straits.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：U698
[Abstract]:Sea transport is efficient, clean and safe, and it is responsible for 90% of global trade. With the development of maritime transportation industry, the risk of maritime transport is also increasing. Due to the increasingly busy maritime traffic and the high standards and new requirements for human life, property and environmental safety at sea, maritime safety assessment has developed rapidly. The Singapore Strait is one of the busiest navigable waters in the world. More than 400 routes connecting more than 700 ports pass through the Singapore Strait. The vast majority of commercial trade routes from China to Europe, the Middle East and Africa pass through the Singapore Strait, and about 80% of the crude oil imports are transported through the Singapore Strait. The navigation environment and navigation safety in the Straits are highly valued by the IMO, the countries bordering straits and the countries that use the Straits. In this paper, the characteristics of navigation environment in the Straits are analyzed, and the correlation function of the best in the right side of the channel is established according to the extenics theory, which is based on the survey of Singapore Strait traffic and the questionnaire survey on the captain and the ship driver. The combined weight is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and simple correlation function assignment method, and the safety assessment of navigation environment in different areas of the Singapore Strait is completed. The safety assessment of navigation environment in Singapore Strait based on Extenics can enrich the safety assessment method of navigation environment in Singapore Strait on the one hand and explore the new application field of the evaluation method based on Extenics on the other. The study of navigation environment safety in the Singapore Strait and the exploration of risk distribution in the Straits will help to reduce the probability of waterway blockage caused by traffic accidents and promote the safe navigation of ships in the Straits.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：U698
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