基于Bow-tie模型的通用航空运行风险管理研究

发布时间：2019-02-18 13:10

【摘要】：本文在介绍通用航空发展现状及其安全管理研究现状的基础上,分析了通用航空安全管理风险分析的迫切性。首先,简单阐述了通用航空安全管理体系的相关理论、风险管理的理论基础和风险管理的基本分析方法,通过比较各种分析方法优缺点,选择运用Bow-tie方法对通用航空运行不安全因素进行研究。其次,论文研究了某通用航空单位运行过程中的不安全因素,通过各个渠道对运行阶段的危险源进行识别,并通过系统工作流程对危险源进行统计、汇总,建立危险源库,然后基于5M模型从人-设备-环境-管理四个方面对60个典型危险源进行分类,最后基于Bow-tie模型对60个典型的危险源进行风险分析和评估,分析危险源发生的原因并且建立相应的安全屏障,以及危险源可能会造成的后果并对其采取相应措施进行风险控制,使危险源控制在可容忍的范围之内。最后,通过以上的分析,根据现阶段国内外运输航空业建立的安全管理体系,可以初步建立通用航空安全管理体系框架,并以此框架为依据,各个通用航空单位可以对其运行阶段进行风险安全管理,预防各个阶段可能发生的不安全事件,从而可以有效的减少事故的发生,保证通用航空产业安全、快速的发展。
[Abstract]:On the basis of introducing the current situation of general aviation development and safety management, this paper analyzes the urgency of risk analysis of general aviation safety management. First of all, the related theories of general aviation safety management system, the theoretical basis of risk management and the basic analysis methods of risk management are briefly expounded, and the advantages and disadvantages of various analysis methods are compared. Bow-tie method is chosen to study the unsafe factors of general aviation operation. Secondly, the paper studies the unsafe factors in the running process of a general aviation unit, identifies the dangerous sources in the operation stage through each channel, and makes statistics and collection of the hazard sources through the system work flow, and establishes the hazard source database. Then 60 typical hazard sources are classified from human, equipment, environment and management based on 5M model. Finally, 60 typical hazard sources are analyzed and evaluated based on Bow-tie model. This paper analyzes the causes of the occurrence of dangerous sources and establishes the corresponding safety barriers, and the possible consequences of the hazard sources, and takes corresponding measures to control the risks so that the risk sources can be controlled within the tolerable range. Finally, through the above analysis, according to the current domestic and foreign transportation aviation industry established safety management system, we can initially establish a general aviation safety management system framework, and based on this framework, Each general aviation unit can carry on the risk safety management to its operation stage, prevent the unsafe event that may occur in each stage, thus can effectively reduce the accident occurrence, guarantee the general aviation industry safety, the rapid development.
【学位授予单位】：中国民用航空飞行学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：V328

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