基于系统理论的铁路系统多事故致因共性研究
发布时间：2019-05-08 01:54
【摘要】：铁路作为最主要的陆上交通运输方式之一，具有载运量大、运行成本低、运输速度快、能量消耗少等特点，在现代运输系统中发挥着极为重要的作用。伴随中国经济的高速发展，中国铁路系统先后经历了六次提速。列车速度的提高对铁路系统的安全运行提出了更加严格的要求。特别是，近年来中国接连发生了多起铁路事故，不仅造成了人员及财产的重大损失，还严重影响了中国铁路的声誉。对铁路事故进行全面分析，有针对性的采取预防和改进措施，，对于避免事故的发生，提高铁路系统的安全性显得尤为重要。 事故致因分析有助于说明事故原因和结果之间的关系，阐明事故为什么会发生，是今后预防同类事故的重要依据。而系统理论，则把研究对象作为一个整体进行考虑，分析其功能、结构，考察对象、要素、环境之间的联系及各自的变化规律。作为一门跨学科，多领域的科学，系统理论被广泛运用于工业工程、科技研究、教育、经济、卫生、军事以及行政等各个方面。利用系统理论的知识和方法对铁路系统事故进行分析，能够很好的描述铁路系统内部组件的运动变化情况及彼此间的交互，为事故致因分析提供一个系统的视角，从整体上把握系统的复杂性和动态性，全面的分析和理解事故。 本文将运用系统理论方法对中国铁路系统事故进行致因分析，寻找铁路事故发生的根本原因。基于系统理论的单事故致因分析方法的提出，有助于透过事故的表面现象，深入系统内部了解其控制机理和复杂交互，发现事故的根本原因。基于系统理论的多事故致因共性分析方法的提出，则有助于寻找多起事故的致因共性，实现同时预防多起事故的目的。文中，第一章首先介绍本文的研究背景和意义，然后对相关研究工作进行回顾。第二章介绍基于系统理论的单事故致因分析方法和多事故致因共性分析方法。第三章以甬温线动车追尾事故为例，验证单事故致因分析方法的有效性。第四章以甬温线动车追尾事故和胶济铁路事故为例，对多事故致因共性进行分析。第五章对全文研究成果进行总结和展望。
[Abstract]:Railway, as one of the most important modes of land transportation, plays a very important role in modern transportation system because of its characteristics of large capacity, low operation cost, fast transportation speed and low energy consumption. With the rapid development of China's economy, China's railway system has experienced six times of speed-up. The improvement of train speed puts forward more strict requirements for the safe operation of railway system. In particular, there have been many railway accidents in China in recent years, which not only caused great loss of personnel and property, but also seriously affected the reputation of Chinese railways. In order to avoid accidents and improve the safety of railway system, it is very important to make a comprehensive analysis of railway accidents and take measures to prevent accidents and improve the safety of railway system. The analysis of causes of accidents is helpful to explain the relationship between causes and results of accidents and to clarify why accidents occur. It is an important basis for the prevention of similar accidents in the future. On the other hand, the system theory considers the research object as a whole and analyzes its function, structure, object, elements, environment and their changing rules. As an interdisciplinary, multi-field science, system theory is widely used in industrial engineering, scientific and technological research, education, economy, health, military and administrative aspects. Using the knowledge and method of system theory to analyze railway system accidents, it can well describe the movement change of internal components of railway system and the interaction between each other, and provide a systematic angle of view for accident cause analysis. Overall grasp the complexity and dynamics of the system, comprehensive analysis and understanding of the accident. In this paper, the causes of railway system accidents in China are analyzed by means of system theory to find out the root causes of railway accidents. The method of single accident cause analysis based on system theory is helpful to understand the control mechanism and complex interaction in the system through the surface phenomenon of the accident and find out the root cause of the accident. The common analysis method of multi-accident cause based on system theory is helpful to find the common cause of multiple accidents and realize the purpose of preventing multiple accidents at the same time. In this paper, the first chapter introduces the background and significance of this paper, and then reviews the related research work. The second chapter introduces the single accident cause analysis method and the multiple accident cause generality analysis method based on the system theory. The third chapter takes the rear-end accident of Yong-Wen Line as an example to verify the validity of the single accident cause analysis method. The fourth chapter takes the rear-end accident of Yongwen line train and Jiaoji railway accident as examples to analyze the common cause of multi-accident. The fifth chapter summarizes and looks forward to the full-text research results.
【学位授予单位】：华中科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：U298
本文编号：2471531
[Abstract]:Railway, as one of the most important modes of land transportation, plays a very important role in modern transportation system because of its characteristics of large capacity, low operation cost, fast transportation speed and low energy consumption. With the rapid development of China's economy, China's railway system has experienced six times of speed-up. The improvement of train speed puts forward more strict requirements for the safe operation of railway system. In particular, there have been many railway accidents in China in recent years, which not only caused great loss of personnel and property, but also seriously affected the reputation of Chinese railways. In order to avoid accidents and improve the safety of railway system, it is very important to make a comprehensive analysis of railway accidents and take measures to prevent accidents and improve the safety of railway system. The analysis of causes of accidents is helpful to explain the relationship between causes and results of accidents and to clarify why accidents occur. It is an important basis for the prevention of similar accidents in the future. On the other hand, the system theory considers the research object as a whole and analyzes its function, structure, object, elements, environment and their changing rules. As an interdisciplinary, multi-field science, system theory is widely used in industrial engineering, scientific and technological research, education, economy, health, military and administrative aspects. Using the knowledge and method of system theory to analyze railway system accidents, it can well describe the movement change of internal components of railway system and the interaction between each other, and provide a systematic angle of view for accident cause analysis. Overall grasp the complexity and dynamics of the system, comprehensive analysis and understanding of the accident. In this paper, the causes of railway system accidents in China are analyzed by means of system theory to find out the root causes of railway accidents. The method of single accident cause analysis based on system theory is helpful to understand the control mechanism and complex interaction in the system through the surface phenomenon of the accident and find out the root cause of the accident. The common analysis method of multi-accident cause based on system theory is helpful to find the common cause of multiple accidents and realize the purpose of preventing multiple accidents at the same time. In this paper, the first chapter introduces the background and significance of this paper, and then reviews the related research work. The second chapter introduces the single accident cause analysis method and the multiple accident cause generality analysis method based on the system theory. The third chapter takes the rear-end accident of Yong-Wen Line as an example to verify the validity of the single accident cause analysis method. The fourth chapter takes the rear-end accident of Yongwen line train and Jiaoji railway accident as examples to analyze the common cause of multi-accident. The fifth chapter summarizes and looks forward to the full-text research results.
【学位授予单位】：华中科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：U298
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前7条
1 傅贵,李宣东,李军;事故的共性原因及其行为科学预防策略[J];安全与环境学报;2005年01期
2 安秀琴;徐建萍;;基于瑞士奶酪模型对我国护理安全管理的思考[J];护理研究;2010年22期
3 李建军;李承前;;长江镇江段船舶追尾事故多发原因及其对策[J];水运管理;2006年11期
4 于广涛,王二平,李永娟;复杂社会技术系统安全绩效评定的新进展[J];人类工效学;2004年02期
5 刘强;陆化普;张永波;邹博;;我国道路交通事故特征分析与对策研究[J];中国安全科学学报;2006年06期
6 王卓;刁朋娣;贾利民;秦勇;;铁路事故致因与风险分析[J];中国安全科学学报;2012年06期
7 樊一江;;关于我国交通基础设施总量规模的几点认识[J];综合运输;2012年09期
本文编号：2471531
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/kejilunwen/anquangongcheng/2471531.html
