基于多维技术创新地图的技术预测研究

发布时间：2018-03-05 07:05

本文选题：技术预测　切入点：多维技术创新地图　出处：《情报杂志》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：[目的/意义]技术预测是对技术发展趋势进行的推测,可对技术变化效应与潜在方向做出系统性、目标性的展望,旨在不断提升企业的核心竞争力。[方法/过程]在总结技术知识发现规律及现有技术预测研究方法基础上,提出了基于多维技术创新地图的技术预测方法,并以移动电源为例,通过专利搜集、整理与筛选,从多个创新维度提取专利文献中包含的关键技术要素,同时结合创新法则对专利中的技术方案进行分析。最后,对移动电源的技术发展趋势与方向进行了预测与总结。[结果/结论]研究结果表明,通过运用该技术创新方法可找出研究领域的技术发展趋势,为相关企业生产活动提供了科学决策的理论支撑。
[Abstract]:[purpose / significance] Technology prediction is a prediction of the trend of technological development, which can make a systematic and targeted outlook on the effects and potential directions of technological change. In order to continuously enhance the core competitiveness of enterprises. [method / process] on the basis of summarizing the rules of technical knowledge discovery and existing technology prediction research methods, a technology prediction method based on multi-dimensional technology innovation map is put forward, and a mobile power supply is taken as an example. Through patent collection, collation and screening, the key technical elements contained in patent literature are extracted from multiple innovation dimensions, and the technical schemes in patent are analyzed in combination with innovation rules. Finally, The trend and direction of technology development of mobile power supply are predicted and summarized. [results / conclusions] the research results show that the trend of technology development in the research field can be found by using this technology innovation method. It provides a theoretical support for scientific decision-making for the production activities of related enterprises.
【作者单位】：郑州大学管理工程学院;哥伦比亚大学;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“基于多维空间专利地图的煤层气开采创新路径研究”(编号:71472171)研究成果之一国家科技部创新方法工作专项“面向企业的颠覆式创新方法与工具研究及其应用”(编号:2016IM010400)研究成果之一
【分类号】：TN86

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