大唐新能源朔州风电工程项目投资风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-16 12:20

本文选题：风电工程 + 风险控制　；参考：《吉林大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：相对于其他形式的发电产业,风力发电项目需要更大的前期投资,而且单位电量的电价比火力发电费用更高,这样在后期的售电方面存在更大的竞争,所以风电场投资项目在投资建设中存在很大的风险;另外,风力发电作为新型的发电产业,近年来发展很快,尤其发电设备在快速的更新过程中,风电技术和相关设备目前还不是很成熟,有待继续研发;再者,受风资源的影响,进一步增加了风电场项目投资的风险。风电场在建设过程中,如果某些环节在衔接方面出现问题也会提高整个项目的风险性,因此,制定一套有效的风险管理措施去最大限度的降低存在的各种风险,对投资者来说是非常有必要的。本文首先对所选课题的研究背景及其意义进行了详细的阐述,通过对课题所提到的拟建项目在开发过程中可能遇到的各种风险,引出如何合理地进行管控和规避的问题。然后围绕工程建设的整个过程,从项目开发、设计、建设等几个环节可能存在的风险依次展开论述,经过对风险因素的辨别分析总结出可采取的有效管控措施,从而达到规避风险的目的,使课题提到的风电工程项目在建设工程中真正能够做到风险可控在控,实现精品工程的建设。其次,采用系统安全工程的方法,针对大唐新能源朔州风电工程项目概况,围绕风源风险评价、风力发电技术、政府电力政策调控、电力输送隐患、电力实施管理等逻辑,对其进行了整体的风险评估,对在拟建工程中潜在的主要危险、有害因素等进行了风险识别和风险排序,定性地从工程和经济两方面做了可行性分析,评价其风险因素及其可接受的程度。最后,提出切实可行的安全技术以及风险控制的对策方案,并通过以上提出的对策措施总结出对整个拟建工程项目的评价结论。
[Abstract]:Wind power projects require more upfront investment than other forms of power generation, and the price per unit of electricity is higher than that of thermal power, so there is greater competition in the later stages of electricity sales.Therefore, wind farm investment projects have great risks in investment and construction. In addition, wind power generation, as a new generation industry, has developed rapidly in recent years, especially in the process of rapid renewal of power generation equipment.Wind power technology and related equipment are not very mature and need to continue to be developed. Furthermore, wind resources have further increased the risk of investment in wind farm projects.In the process of wind farm construction, if some links have problems in connection, it will also improve the risk of the whole project. Therefore, develop a set of effective risk management measures to minimize the existence of various risks.It is very necessary for investors.In this paper, the research background and significance of the selected project are described in detail. Through the various risks that the proposed project may meet in the development process, the problem of how to reasonably control and avoid the proposed project is brought forward.Then, according to the whole process of engineering construction, the possible risks in several links, such as project development, design, construction and so on, are discussed in turn, and the effective control measures that can be taken are summed up through the discrimination and analysis of risk factors.In order to avoid the risk, the wind power project mentioned in this paper can control the risk in the construction project and realize the construction of the fine project.Secondly, according to the general situation of wind power project in Shuozhou, a new energy source of Datang, the paper uses the method of system safety engineering to focus on the logic of wind source risk evaluation, wind power generation technology, government power policy regulation, hidden trouble of electric power transmission, electric power implementation management, etc.The whole risk assessment is carried out, the main potential hazards and harmful factors in the proposed project are identified and sorted, and the feasibility analysis is made qualitatively from the two aspects of engineering and economy.Evaluate its risk factors and their acceptability.Finally, the feasible safety technology and risk control countermeasures are put forward, and the evaluation conclusions of the whole proposed project are summarized through the above countermeasures.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：TM614

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