基于生命周期的光伏发电项目综合效益评价研究

发布时间：2018-11-12 11:51

【摘要】：随着经济的快速发展,传统能源过度开采、环境污染以及气候变暖等问题也日益凸显。在风电、水电发展初具规模的背景下,光伏发电的优势日益突出。随着光伏发电项目规模的扩大和类型的增加,项目整个生命周期内经济、环境和社会问题开始引起关注。在分析光伏产业发展和光伏发电项目生命周期阶段的基础上,从财务、环境、社会、国民经济四个方面设计光伏发电项目综合效益评价指标体系,并突出了“光伏扶贫”指标。选取包括光伏大棚、“渔光互补”、光伏屋顶以及光伏电站四个真实存在的案例,计算项目生命周期内的各指标数值,运用基于均方差赋权的多目标决策灰色关联投影法对四个案例进行财务、环境、社会、国民经济以及综合效益的评价及排序。彭阳光伏大棚项目在财务评价和社会效益评价上占优,南川光伏屋顶项目在环境效益和国民经济评价上占优,在综合效益方面,光伏大棚项目光伏屋顶项目渔光互补项目光伏电站项目。在分析评价结果原因的基础上,从产业层面和项目层面提出对策建议,涉及产业发展规划、上网电价、技术创新、投融资、项目选择多样化等方面。基于生命周期针对不同类型的光伏发电项目进行综合效益评价并排序,对促进光伏产业的健康发展以及不同地区光伏项目的选择、光伏政策的制定具有积极的推动作用。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economy, the problems of over-exploitation of traditional energy, environmental pollution and climate warming have become increasingly prominent. Under the background of wind power and hydropower development, the advantages of photovoltaic power generation are increasingly prominent. With the expansion of photovoltaic power generation project scale and type, the economic, environmental and social problems of the whole life cycle of the project are becoming more and more important. On the basis of analyzing the development of photovoltaic industry and the life cycle of photovoltaic power generation project, this paper designs the comprehensive benefit evaluation index system of photovoltaic power generation project from four aspects of finance, environment, society and national economy, and highlights the index of "photovoltaic poverty alleviation". Four real cases, including photovoltaic greenhouse, fishing light complementary, photovoltaic roof and photovoltaic power station, are selected to calculate the values of each index in the project life cycle. The grey relational projection method of multi-objective decision-making based on weighted mean square error is used to evaluate and rank the financial, environmental, social, national economy and comprehensive benefits of four cases. Pengyang photovoltaic greenhouse project is superior in financial evaluation and social benefit evaluation, Nanchuan photovoltaic roof project is superior in environmental benefit and national economic evaluation, and comprehensive benefit, Photovoltaic greenhouse project photovoltaic roof project fishing light complementary project photovoltaic power station project. Based on the analysis of the reasons of the evaluation results, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the industrial level and the project level, including industrial development planning, electricity price on the Internet, technological innovation, investment and financing, diversification of project selection and so on. Based on the life cycle of different types of photovoltaic power generation projects comprehensive benefit evaluation and ranking, to promote the healthy development of photovoltaic industry and the selection of photovoltaic projects in different regions, photovoltaic policy formulation has a positive role.
【学位授予单位】：青岛科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.61

【参考文献】