配网工程项目施工风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-03-05 17:35

本文选题：配网工程项目施工风险　切入点：风险识别　出处：《华北电力大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：电力工业是国民经济的第一基础产业,是关系国计民生的基础产业,是国民经济发展战略中首先发展的重点。作为国民经济发展重要的基础性产业,它的发展关系到国民经济发展和人民生活水平的提高。随着我国经济的不断发展,对电的需求量不断扩大,电力施工项目也大量增加。电力施工项目的典型代表就是配网工程项目施工。配网工程项目施工由于前期投入大、技术要求高、工期长等方面,造成在施工过程中受到各种不确定性因素的干扰。项目主体不可避免地面临各种大大小小的风险及其造成的损失后果,如果不做好事前预测风险和事中控制风险工作,则很可能会影响施工项目的顺利开展,甚至会带来严重后果。为此,有必要对配网工程项目施工过程进行风险管理。本文首先在阐述配网工程项目施工风险概念和理论的基础上,分析了配网工程项目施工风险的特征,对配网工程项目施工风险进行了分类,简单介绍了配网工程项目施工风险管理过程。探讨了配网工程项目施工的特点和风险来源,研究了配网工程项目施工风险识别、风险评估、风险控制,并且建立了配网工程项目施工风险管理体系。在风险识别方面主要分析了风险识别的过程和风险识别的方法。在风险评估方面通过分析各类风险评估方法的特点,确定配网工程项目施工风险评估采用模糊评判法和专家打分法,依据相关标准确定了配网工程项目施工风险因素的评估标准并探讨了配网工程项目施工风险的评估过程。而风险控制是根据风险评估的结果对风险进行控制,配网工程项目施工风险控制的策略包括了风险规避、风险转移、风险缓解、风险自留和风险利用等。在本文最后以10kV开发区双回线路的施工为例,对整个施工过程进行风险管理,最终的结果论证了本文所建立的配网工程项目施工风险管理体系的科学性和实用性。
[Abstract]:The electric power industry is the first basic industry of the national economy, the basic industry related to the national economy and the people's livelihood, and the first focus of the development strategy of the national economy. As an important basic industry in the development of the national economy, Its development is related to the development of national economy and the improvement of people's living standard. The typical representative of the electric power construction project is the distribution network project construction. Due to the large investment in the early stage, high technical requirements, long construction period and so on, The main body of the project inevitably faces all kinds of risks, large and small, and the consequences of their losses. If we do not do a good job of predicting the risks in advance and controlling the risks in the event, Therefore, it is necessary to carry out risk management in the construction process of distribution network project. On the basis of explaining the concept and theory of construction risk of distribution network project, this paper analyzes the characteristics of construction risk of distribution network project, and classifies the construction risk of distribution network project. This paper briefly introduces the construction risk management process of distribution network project, probes into the characteristics and sources of construction risk of distribution network project, and studies the risk identification, risk assessment and risk control of distribution network project. In the aspect of risk identification, the process of risk identification and the method of risk identification are analyzed. In the aspect of risk assessment, the characteristics of all kinds of risk assessment methods are analyzed. It is determined that fuzzy evaluation method and expert scoring method are used to evaluate the construction risk of distribution network project. According to the relevant standards, the evaluation criteria of construction risk factors of distribution network project are determined and the evaluation process of construction risk of distribution network project is discussed. The risk control is to control the risk according to the result of risk assessment. The construction risk control strategies of distribution network project include risk evasion, risk transfer, risk mitigation, risk retention and risk utilization. The risk management of the whole construction process is carried out, and the final results demonstrate the scientific nature and practicability of the construction risk management system of the distribution network project established in this paper.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TM73

【参考文献】