风险适应型的月度发电计划管理模式

发布时间：2018-04-10 06:22

本文选题：月度发电计划　切入点：风险适应　出处：《电网技术》2014年12期

【摘要】：传统发电计划管理主要考虑年度合约电量完成进度与电厂等负荷率,没有较好地考虑发电计划的调度可执行性,也没有考虑计划执行过程中各类不确定性因素的影响。基于此,提出了一种风险适应型的月度发电计划管理模式与编制方法。首先,在分解月电量时精细化地考虑逐日的机组组合优化安排,以预留一定的执行调整空间,并在机组组合不可行时修正月度发电计划;其次,提炼影响发电计划执行的关键边界条件,在月内持续检测边界条件的变化情况,提出响应边界条件变化的计划跟踪与调整方法,实现了月度发电计划的滚动分析、目标调整与偏差修正,降低计划执行的风险。
[Abstract]:The traditional generation plan management mainly considers the progress of the annual contract and the equal load rate of the power plant, and does not consider the scheduling executable of the generation plan well, nor does it consider the influence of various uncertain factors in the process of the plan implementation.Based on this, a risk-adaptive monthly power generation planning management model and compilation method are proposed.Firstly, in decomposing the monthly electricity quantity, we carefully consider the daily unit combination optimization arrangement to reserve some adjustment space, and revise the monthly power generation plan when the unit combination is not feasible; secondly,The key boundary conditions affecting the execution of the power generation plan are refined, the changes of the boundary conditions are continuously detected in the month, and a plan tracking and adjusting method in response to the change of the boundary conditions is proposed, which realizes the rolling analysis of the monthly power generation plan.Target adjustment and deviation correction to reduce the risk of implementation of the plan.
【作者单位】：国家电网公司华北分部;电力系统及发电设备控制和仿真国家重点实验室(清华大学电机系);国网冀北电力有限公司;
【基金】：国家电网公司科技项目资助~~
【分类号】：TM73

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