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北京电网运行风险管理分析

发布时间:2018-04-26 05:26

  本文选题:电网运行 + 风险管理 ; 参考:《华北电力大学》2014年硕士论文


【摘要】:随着社会对电力依赖程度的增加,对电力供电可靠性的要求越来越高。如何将电网运行风险控制在最小,提高供电可靠性成为电网运行企业要解决的一个关键问题。 本文提出电网运行风险管理的背景、目的与意义。将风险管理的理念引入电网运行风险管理中,从北京电网运行实际出发进行分析,归纳、总结影响电网运行风险的主要因素,对电网运行的风险识别、安全评价以及风险控制措施进行深入的分析与探讨。 本文作者结合多年生产管理经验以及北京电力公司运行风险管理实际,将现有风险管理方法与先进的风险管理理念相结合,依据电网风险管理工作的特点以及电力企业组织结构的特点,引入风险管理中的矩阵模型对电网安全运行管理进行体系设计,明确矩阵式风险管理体系中每一级所担负的任务及安全责任,从而建立完善的矩阵型电网运行风险管理体系。运用层次分析法对电网运行中的风险因素进行评估,量化电网运行中各个危险因素对影响电网安全运行所占的比重,使得在提高电网运行可靠性的工作上可以更加有的放矢的开展。制定完善的北京电网运行风险管理流程,将电网风险管理中的各类风险控制手段进行梳理,分类制定相应的的控制方法,从而建立科学高效的风险管理体系。通过电网风险管理实现安监部门、电网调度管理部门、电力设备运行维护部门、电网营销等部门间的联动机制,实现电网管理的持续改进,使得电网电力调度的风险管理体系更加系统和完善。
[Abstract]:With the increase of power dependence, the reliability of power supply is becoming more and more important. How to keep the operation risk of power network to the minimum and how to improve the reliability of power supply become a key problem to be solved by power grid operation enterprises. This paper puts forward the background, purpose and significance of risk management in power grid operation. This paper introduces the idea of risk management into the risk management of power grid operation, analyzes and summarizes the main factors that affect the risk of power grid operation, and identifies the risk of power grid operation. Safety evaluation and risk control measures for in-depth analysis and discussion. In this paper, the author combines the existing risk management method with the advanced risk management idea by combining the production management experience of many years and the operational risk management practice of Beijing Electric Power Company. According to the characteristics of power network risk management and the characteristics of power enterprise organization structure, this paper introduces the matrix model of risk management to design the system of grid safe operation management. The task and safety responsibility of each level in the matrix risk management system is clarified, and a perfect matrix network operation risk management system is established. The paper evaluates the risk factors in the operation of power grid by using the analytic hierarchy process, and quantifies the proportion of each dangerous factor to the safe operation of the power network. So that the work of improving the reliability of power grid operation can be carried out more purposefully. In order to establish a scientific and efficient risk management system, a perfect risk management process of Beijing power grid is established, and various kinds of risk control methods in power grid risk management are combed out, and the corresponding control methods are classified to establish a scientific and efficient risk management system. Through the power network risk management to realize the safety supervision department, the power grid dispatch management department, the electric power equipment operation maintenance department, the power network marketing and so on inter-departmental linkage mechanism, realizes the power network management continuous improvement, It makes the risk management system of electric power dispatching more systematic and perfect.
【学位授予单位】:华北电力大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:TM732

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