甘肃某风电场建设项目综合评价研究

发布时间：2018-07-06 10:54

本文选题：风电场 + 综合评价　；参考：《华北电力大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：科学合理地评价风电项目的可行性,对于减少投资决策过程中的主观性和盲目性,提高投资效益、降低投资风险、优化资源配置具有重要意义。本文提出了从技术、经济等方面全面综合评价风力发电项目可行性的具体方法。首先结合风电场项目自身的特点,科学系统地建立了风电场项目综合评价指标体系；第二,将技术经济等评价理论和多层次模糊分析方法相结合,根据风电项目的实际情况,基于建立的指标体系对风电场建立了综合评价模型；第三,在评价过程中该方法对主观权值进行了修正,减少了主观因素对评价结果的影响,使得评价结果更加真实可信。最后,分别对各层指标进行评价,最终得到综合评价结果。在理论研究的基础上,运用该方法在甘肃某风电场综合评价中进行了应用。详细分析了风电场风能资源、风电机组选型、电气部分、财务情况、社会效益等各项评价指标,建立了适用于该风电场分析的综合评价指标体系,确定定量指标隶属度,得到权重向量并客观赋权后,对多层次目标进行模糊综合评价,最终得到该风电场建设项目的综合评价结果为“良”,即该风电场的技术条件可行,经济效益良好,社会与环境上能做到可持续发展,综合考虑后认为该项目是可行的。
[Abstract]:Evaluating the feasibility of wind power project scientifically and reasonably is of great significance to reduce the subjectivity and blindness in the process of investment decision, improve the investment benefit, reduce the investment risk and optimize the allocation of resources. This paper puts forward a concrete method to evaluate the feasibility of wind power project comprehensively from the aspects of technology and economy. Firstly, the comprehensive evaluation index system of wind farm project is established scientifically and systematically according to the characteristics of wind farm project. Secondly, combining the theory of technical and economic evaluation with the multi-level fuzzy analysis method, according to the actual situation of wind power project, Based on the established index system, the comprehensive evaluation model of wind farm is established. Thirdly, in the process of evaluation, the method modifies the subjective weight, reduces the influence of subjective factors on the evaluation results, and makes the evaluation results more authentic. Finally, the index of each layer is evaluated, and the comprehensive evaluation result is obtained. On the basis of theoretical research, the method is applied to the comprehensive evaluation of a wind farm in Gansu province. The wind energy resources of wind farm, wind turbine selection, electrical part, financial situation, social benefit and other evaluation indexes are analyzed in detail. The comprehensive evaluation index system suitable for the wind farm analysis is established, and the membership degree of quantitative index is determined. After the weight vector is obtained and the objective weight is given, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of the multi-level objective is carried out. Finally, the comprehensive evaluation result of the wind farm construction project is "good", that is, the technical conditions of the wind farm are feasible and the economic benefits are good. Social and environmental sustainable development can be achieved, considered that the project is feasible.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TM614

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