越南广宁火电国际工程项目的风险分析及对策

发布时间：2018-11-02 19:58

【摘要】：国际火电工程项目是高风险项目,主要体现在公司独立或以联合体形式承包大型国际项目时,所存在的不确定性和可能带来影响项目盈利目标实现的风险。上海电气集团为跨国公司和国内企业的合资公司,从技术和管理上具备了一些国际工程项目的要求,然而上海电气集团建立之初是面向国内电力市场客户,绝大部分都是中方员工,且开始仅定位于工厂性质的生产制造,从项目的整体流程和运作上缺乏建立国际工程项目风险管理机制与知识体系的能力,上海电气集团目前还缺乏风险管理意识和专业人员,不能有效地对项目风险进行识别、分析,并制订相应的措施,项目风险管理仅仅还是靠项目人员的经验和意识。由于缺乏专业的风险管理,部分项目领域因而存在严重偏差,项目的执行也大受影响,进而拖延了项目进度,并导致项目经费超出预算。所以,怎样对项目风险进行管理是当前面临的一个主要问题。本文在现代风险管理理论的基础上,针对国际火电站工程项目的特点,对广宁项目的风险来源进行解析,提出了适用于广宁火电站项目风险分析和定性、定量评估方法。同时,本文对火电站项目典型风险和防范措施也逐一作详细剖析,并结合越南项目风险案例,应用模糊综合评定的风险评估方法进行风险分析论证。此外,本文对完善系统化风险管理机制进行了初步探讨和分析。把握风险的特性,积极主动地运用系统性管理手段或工具进行风险管理,才能有效地进行风险管理。风险管理应该创造价值,这是风险管理的最基本原则。把这种价值理念融会贯通到风险管理活动中,是本文研究的主旨。
[Abstract]:The international thermal power project is a high-risk project, which is mainly reflected in the uncertainty and the risk that may affect the realization of the profit goal of the project when the company contracts a large international project independently or in the form of a consortium. Shanghai Electric Group is a joint venture between multinational companies and domestic enterprises. It has the technical and management requirements of some international engineering projects. However, the Shanghai Electric Group was initially established for customers in the domestic electricity market. Most of them are Chinese employees, and they begin to focus only on factory manufacturing. They lack the ability to set up international engineering project risk management mechanism and knowledge system in terms of the overall process and operation of the project. At present, Shanghai Electric Group still lacks the awareness of risk management and professional personnel, and can not effectively identify, analyze, and formulate corresponding measures for project risk management. Project risk management only depends on the experience and awareness of project personnel. Due to the lack of professional risk management, there are serious deviations in some project areas, and the implementation of the project is greatly affected, which delays the progress of the project and results in the project funding exceeding the budget. Therefore, how to manage the project risk is a major problem. On the basis of modern risk management theory, according to the characteristics of international thermal power station project, this paper analyzes the risk source of Guangning project, and puts forward a method of risk analysis, qualitative and quantitative evaluation suitable for Guangning thermal power station project. At the same time, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the typical risks and preventive measures of thermal power plant projects, and applies the fuzzy comprehensive assessment method to risk analysis and demonstration, combined with the project risk case of Vietnam. In addition, this article has carried on the preliminary discussion and the analysis to the consummation systematic risk management mechanism. Only by grasping the characteristics of risk and actively using systematic management means or tools can risk management be carried out effectively. Risk management should create value, which is the most basic principle of risk management. The main purpose of this paper is to integrate this value concept into risk management activities.
【学位授予单位】：上海交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TM621

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