并网光伏发电及其上网电价的研究

发布时间：2018-11-18 10:22

【摘要】：太阳能作为新兴能源已经被很多国家计划用作未来生产、生活的核心能源,我国的太阳能光伏发电产业的发展还处于初级阶段,一直在摸索中寻找合理的方式推动整个产业的发展。光伏发电是一个对扶持政策依赖度较高的产业。2011年以前我国还没有制定上网电价政策来补贴光伏发电成本,而是采用项目招标的形式确定承办单位,这样的形式在保障投资者利益和对整个产业发展方面存在很多问题。2013年,我国陆续出台了一系列促进光伏发电产业健康发展的政策。比如实行分区域的标杆上网电价政策,根据光伏发电规模、成本等因素的变化及调整,逐步调减电价及调整补贴标准。这标志着我国光伏发电产业开启了快速发展的进程。本文分析了光伏发电系统的发现现状,分析出制约我国并网光伏发电系统发展的因素,利用净现值模型估计出能够保障投资者利益的临界光伏上网电价,然后根据学习曲线模型拟合出光伏的技术进步率,将技术进步率引入光伏上网电价的净现值模型中,得到逐年递减的光伏上网指导电价曲线。本文以邹城电站项目为案例,利用以上的模型及方法确定科学合理的上网电价,为我国政府及各地方出台光伏上网电价细则和辅助补贴政策提供参考和借鉴,为完善我国光伏上网电价政策提出对策和建议。
[Abstract]:Solar energy, as a new energy source, has been planned by many countries to be used as the core energy for future production and life. The development of solar photovoltaic power generation industry in China is still in the initial stage. Has been looking for a reasonable way to promote the development of the entire industry. Photovoltaic power generation is a highly dependent industry on supporting policies. Before 2011, China has not formulated a price policy to subsidize the cost of photovoltaic power generation. Instead, it has adopted the form of project bidding to determine the contractors. In 2013, China introduced a series of policies to promote the healthy development of photovoltaic power generation industry. For example, the implementation of sub-regional benchmarking price policy, according to the scale of photovoltaic power generation, cost and other factors changes and adjustments, gradually reduce electricity prices and adjust the subsidy standards. This marks the rapid development of photovoltaic power generation industry in China. In this paper, the discovery status of photovoltaic power generation system is analyzed, the factors restricting the development of grid-connected photovoltaic power generation system in China are analyzed, and the critical photovoltaic electricity price which can protect the interests of investors is estimated by using the net present value model. Then, according to the learning curve model, the technological progress rate of photovoltaic is fitted, and the technology progress rate is introduced into the net present value model of photovoltaic Internet price, and the decreasing photovoltaic grid price curve is obtained year by year. Taking the Zoucheng Hydropower Station as a case, this paper uses the above models and methods to determine the scientific and reasonable electricity price, which can provide reference and reference for our government and other places to issue the detailed rules of photovoltaic electricity price and supplementary subsidy policy. In order to improve China's photovoltaic electricity price policy put forward countermeasures and suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.61

【相似文献】