我国新常态下海洋经济与产业结构演进的辩证研究

发布时间：2018-01-12 01:20

本文关键词：我国新常态下海洋经济与产业结构演进的辩证研究　出处：《华东经济管理》2016年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章以我国海洋产业为研究对象,选取1996-2014年数据,构建向量自回归模型,对海洋三次产业与海洋生产总值的关联以及海洋经济与产业结构演进的脉冲响应等进行定量分析,揭示出我国经济新常态下海洋三次产业与海洋生产总值具有长期稳定的均衡关系,海洋经济发展与海洋产业结构演进形成了良性的互动机制;同时也验证出海洋第一、二、三产业和海洋生产总值之间的因果关系。政府在制定产业结构调整和优化政策时,应当立足发展第一产业,重点发展海洋第二产业,并有效地扶持海洋第三产业,以达到协同发展。
[Abstract]:This paper takes the marine industry of our country as the research object, selects the data from 1996 to 2014, constructs the vector autoregressive model. The relationship between the three marine industries and the marine gross domestic product and the impulse response to the evolution of marine economy and industrial structure are analyzed quantitatively. It is revealed that there is a long and stable equilibrium relationship between marine tertiary industries and marine gross domestic product under the new normal state of China's economy, and that the development of marine economy and the evolution of marine industrial structure have formed a benign interactive mechanism. At the same time, it also verifies the causality between the first, second and third industries of the ocean and the GDP. The government should base itself on the development of the primary industry when formulating the industrial structure adjustment and optimization policies. Emphasis is placed on the development of marine secondary industry and effective support for marine tertiary industry in order to achieve coordinated development.
【作者单位】：集美大学工商管理学院;
【基金】：福建省社会科学规划项目(FJ2015B182) 福建省高等学校杰出青年科研人才培育计划基金项目(JAJQ1501) 福建省软科学项目(2016R0066)
【分类号】：F121.3;P74
【正文快照】： 一、引言我国当前处于经济新常态,进入“十二五”规划以来,我国海洋经济的增长速度快速回落,领先进入到深度调整期,我国海洋经济正处于转向结构合理化、形态高级化、分工细致化的阶段,然而海洋产业结构依然面临着严峻的问题。2015年我国海洋经济工作提出全面对接国家提出的“

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