中国全球业务化海洋学预报系统的发展和应用

发布时间：2018-01-20 23:28

本文关键词： 业务化海洋学全球海洋预报业务化应用三级嵌套资料同化　出处：《地球科学进展》2016年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：中国全球业务化海洋学预报系统是国家海洋环境预报中心在国内首次构建的全球—大洋—近海3级嵌套的全球业务化海洋学预报系统体系,系统稳定高效业务运行,通过多种方式实时提供和发布全球多尺度多要素的海流、海浪、海温、海冰、海面风场等预报产品,实现了全球海域范围内从百公里级到公里级空间分辨率的一体化预报业务全覆盖。全球业务化海洋学预报系统从全球尺度、大洋尺度到中国周边海域包括8个子系统:全球海面风场数值预报子系统、全球海洋环流数值预报子系统、全球海浪数值预报子系统、全球潮汐潮流数值预报子系统、印度洋海域海洋环境数值预报子系统、极地海冰数值预报子系统、中国周边海域精细化海洋环境数值预报子系统、全球海洋环境预报业务化集成支撑子系统。该系统紧密结合我国经济社会发展和军事保障需求,在"雪龙号"极地遇险脱困预报保障、马航MH370失联飞机搜救预报保障、"蛟龙号"多次深潜海试预报保障、日本福岛"3.11"地震海啸核泄漏影响评估等重大事件的预报保障任务中发挥了至关重要的作用,为我国实施海洋强国战略,维护国家海洋权益、保障涉海安全生产、应对海上突发事件等提供有力的科技支撑。
[Abstract]:China Global operational Oceanographic forecasting system is the first global ocean-oceanographic forecasting system in China, which is nesting three levels of global oceanic ocean and offshore ocean, which is constructed by the National Marine Environment Forecast Center for the first time in China. The system operates stably and efficiently, and provides and publishes global current, wave, sea temperature, sea ice, sea surface wind field and other forecasting products in real time in many ways. The integrated forecasting services covering the global sea area ranging from 100 km to km spatial resolution are realized. The global operational oceanographic forecasting system operates on a global scale. There are eight subsystems from oceanic scale to China: global sea surface wind field numerical forecast subsystem, global ocean circulation numerical forecast subsystem, global ocean wave numerical forecast subsystem. Global tidal tide numerical forecasting subsystem, Indian Ocean ocean ocean environmental numerical forecast subsystem, polar sea ice numerical forecast subsystem, China peripheral sea area fine marine environment numerical forecast subsystem. The integrated support subsystem of global marine environment forecast, which is closely combined with the economic and social development of our country and the demand of military support, is used in the "Xuelong" polar region to forecast the distress and escape from distress. Malaysia Airlines MH370 missing aircraft search and rescue forecast support, "Jiaolong" multiple deep submarine sea trial forecast support. Japan's "3. 11" earthquake and tsunami disaster impact assessment and other major events in the forecasting mission played a vital role in the implementation of the strategy of China's marine power, to protect the national marine rights and interests. To ensure the safety of production related to the sea, to provide strong scientific and technological support for maritime emergencies.
【作者单位】：国家海洋环境预报中心;国家海洋局海洋灾害预报技术研究重点实验室国家海洋环境预报中心;热带海洋环境国家重点实验室中国科学院南海海洋研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目“热带太平洋三种增暖事件次表层海温演变特征及机理研究”(编号:41406042) 热带海洋环境国家重点实验室(中国科学院南海海洋研究所)开放课题项目“全球海洋资料同化系统在热带太平洋三种不同海水增暖事件中盐度变化特征分析”(编号:LTO1303)资助~~
【分类号】：P731.3;P732.4
【正文快照】： 3.热带海洋环境国家重点实验室,中国科学院南海海洋研究所,广东广州510301)1引言海洋预报是基于对海洋过去和当前状态及其演变规律的认识,运用数值模式、观测和资料同化等手段,对多种时空尺度上的海洋现象和海洋状况(海温、盐度、海流、海浪、潮汐、海冰等)进行分析、判断和预

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