环渤海地区人海关系地域系统脆弱性研究

发布时间：2018-08-21 20:01

【摘要】：本文以环渤海地区为例,将其人海关系地域系统分为资源环境系统、经济系统和社会系统,对其海洋资源、海洋科技人才力量和海洋基础设施等进行概述,分析海洋经济和海洋产业的发展过程。以脆弱性为切入点,运用集对分析法对1996-2012年环渤海地区人海关系地域系统脆弱性进行评估,并探讨其发展趋势;运用三角图法对1996-2012年环渤海地区人海关系地域系统脆弱性进行分类,分析其发展的复杂性、多元性和动态性,并根据分类结果制定相应的对策,有助于环渤海地区明确发展目标和选择路径。本文的主要结论如下:第一,环渤海地区人海关系地域系统脆弱性指数整体呈下降态势,稳定性显著增强。1996-2012年环渤海地区四个省份人海关系地域系统脆弱性指数区域差异明显,在研究期内脆弱性综合指数排序为山东省辽宁省天津市河北省;下降幅度依次是辽宁省0.4796、河北省0.402、天津市0.3187、山东省0.2638。第二,从脆弱性类型上看,在研究期内天津市有10年次复合子系统脆弱RS型,7年次均衡脆弱RES型;河北省有2年次复合子系统脆弱RS型,15年次均衡脆弱RES型;辽宁省有1年次复合子系统脆弱ES型,16年次均衡脆弱RES型;山东省有3年次单一子系统脆弱R型,复合子系统脆弱ES型有5年次和3年次RS型,6年次均衡脆弱RES型。第三,从发展趋势上看,在研究期内天津市人海关系地域系统经济子系统脆弱性所占比重逐渐减小,辽宁省和河北省人海关系地域系统三个子系统脆弱性比例协调较好,山东省人海关系地域系统资源环境子系统脆弱性所占比重不断增大。第四,要降低环渤海地区人海关系地域系统脆弱性需加强陆海统筹,优化海洋产业结构,加强海洋污染治理,推进海洋科学技术创新、加快人才培养、加强基础设施建设以加强应对性,提高可持续发展能力。
[Abstract]:Taking the Bohai Rim as an example, this paper divides the regional system of the People's Customs Department into resource and environment system, economic system and social system, summarizes its marine resources, marine scientific and technological talents and marine infrastructure, and analyzes the development process of marine economy and marine industry. The vulnerability of the regional system of the people's and customs departments around the Bohai Sea in the past 12 years was assessed and the development trend was discussed; the vulnerability of the regional system of the people's and customs departments around the Bohai Sea in 1996-2012 was classified by triangular graph method, and the complexity, diversity and dynamics of its development were analyzed. The corresponding countermeasures were formulated according to the classification results, which would be helpful to the development of the area around the Bohai Sea. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: Firstly, the vulnerability index of the regional system of the People's Customs Department in the Bohai Rim region is declining as a whole, and the stability is significantly enhanced. The index was ranked as Liaoning Province, Tianjin Province, Shandong Province, Hebei Province, 0.4796, Hebei Province, 0.402, Tianjin City, 0.3187 and Shandong Province, 0.2638. Second, in terms of vulnerability types, Tianjin had 10-year vulnerable RS-type complex subsystems, 7-year vulnerable RES-type equilibrium complex subsystems, and Hebei Province had 2-year vulnerable RS-type complex subsystems. Type A, 15-year equilibrium fragile RES; Liaoning Province has one-year complex subsystem fragile ES type, 16-year equilibrium fragile RES type; Shandong Province has three-year single subsystem fragile R type, complex subsystem fragile ES type has five-year and three-year RS type, six-year equilibrium fragile RES type. The proportion of vulnerability of the system economy subsystem is gradually decreasing, the proportion of vulnerability of the three subsystems of the regional system of the People's Customs Department of Liaoning Province and Hebei Province is well coordinated, and the proportion of vulnerability of the resources and environment subsystem of the regional system of Shandong Province's People's Customs Department is increasing. Strengthen the overall planning of land and sea, optimize the marine industrial structure, strengthen the control of marine pollution, promote the innovation of marine science and technology, speed up the training of personnel, strengthen infrastructure construction to enhance responsiveness and enhance the ability of sustainable development.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：P74

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