中国海洋经济区域与结构均衡性研究

发布时间：2019-02-12 18:49

【摘要】：基于基尼系数分解模型,结合边际效应理论,对1996—2014年我国海洋经济的区域与结构均衡性变动特征及内在机制进行了研究,提出有效改善海洋经济区域与结构均衡性的主要方向。研究发现:1996—2014年我国人均海洋产值和海岸线经济在密度不同的指标下,区域均衡性整体呈现先变弱后变强的变化趋势,在人均海洋产值指标下,三大区域内部的均衡性在波动中提高;在海岸线经济密度指标下,三大区域内部均衡性在波动中有所下降;结构均衡性同样呈现先变弱后变强的变化趋势,海洋第一产业均衡性总体变化不大,海洋第二、三产业均衡性前期波动下降后期得到改善。通过基尼系数的边际效应发现,提高我国北部地区海洋产值并在特定年份提高北部地区海岸线资源利用水平、南部海岸线资源利用水平,有利于改善我国海洋经济区域的均衡性;发展海洋第一产业,在特定年份提高我国海洋第三产业产值,有利于提高海洋经济结构的均衡性,在当今注重海洋第二、三产业发展的同时,要时刻关注我国地区海洋第一产业的发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the Gini coefficient decomposition model and the marginal effect theory, the characteristics and internal mechanism of the regional and structural equilibrium changes of China's marine economy from 1996 to 2014 are studied. The main direction of improving the balance of marine economic region and structure is put forward. It is found that the regional equilibrium of marine output per capita and coastline economy in China from 1996 to 2014 shows the trend of weakening first and then becoming stronger under the different density index, and under the index of marine output per capita, The internal equilibrium of the three regions is improved in the fluctuation; Under the economic density index of the coastline, the internal equilibrium of the three major regions decreases in the fluctuation. The structural equilibrium also shows the trend of weakening first and then becoming stronger. The equilibrium of marine primary industry has little change in the whole, and the pre-fluctuation of the second and third industries is improved in the later stage. Through the marginal effect of Gini coefficient, it is found that the marine output value in the northern part of China is increased and the utilization level of shoreline resources in the northern part of China and the utilization level of shoreline resources in the southern part of China are increased in a given year. It is beneficial to improve the balance of marine economic region in China; Developing the marine primary industry and increasing the output value of our country's marine tertiary industry in a specific year are conducive to improving the balance of the marine economic structure. At the same time, we are paying attention to the development of the marine secondary and tertiary industries. Should pay close attention to the development of marine primary industry of our country area all the time.
【作者单位】：辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:41301129) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(编号:12JJD790032) 辽宁省创新团队课题项目(编号:WT2014005)
【分类号】：P74

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