区域环境约束下的山西省煤炭合理产量研究

发布时间：2018-03-30 04:35

本文选题：物质流分析　切入点：生态足迹　出处：《中国矿业大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：山西省是我国重要的煤炭生产基地。山西省煤炭资源的开发利用,一方面为国家经济的发展提供了能源,促进了地方经济的发展;另一方面,煤炭资源的高强度、大规模开发对区域生态环境带来了巨大的冲击,产生了很大的环境压力。“中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十三个五年规划纲要,简称‘十三五’规划(2016-2020年)”中明确提出要实施“绿色发展,建设资源节约型、环境友好型社会”。因此,如何在资源约束、环境制约下继续保持经济快速增长,科学合理地规划和确定山西省煤炭产量,实现煤炭资源开发与区域环境协调可持续发展,有着重要的理论和现实意义。本文着眼于实现山西省煤炭资源可持续发展,从生态系统安全的角度出发,以可持续发展理论、一般均衡理论为理论基础,以物质流分析、生态足迹为主要方法,系统研究了山西省煤炭资源开发对区域环境产生的压力,合理测算了山西省煤炭资源开发的环境承载力,在此基础上对山西省煤炭合理产量进行了预测,为推动山西省煤炭资源的可持续发展进行了有益的探索。首先,用物质流分析方法对山西省2000-2014年煤炭资源开发的物质流指标体系进行了核算,从质量角度分析研究了山西省煤炭资源开发对自然环境产生的压力;在此基础上,运用生态足迹方法,建立了煤炭资源开发生态足迹清单,通过对山西省2000-2014年煤炭资源开发生态足迹进行测算,从面积角度分析研究了山西省煤炭资源开发对自然环境产生的压力。其次,建立了基于经验模态分解(EMD)的环境承载力动力学预测模型和煤炭资源开发的环境承载力计算模型,提出以万元GDP煤耗占万元GDP能耗的比例来反映煤炭行业在总环境承载力中的份额,并计算出山西省2000-2014年煤炭资源开发的最大环境承载力和最适环境承载力。最后,通过分析山西省煤炭资源开发生态足迹、环境承载力与煤炭生产量之间的关系,进而测算得出山西省煤炭资源开发的合理产量应为[100543.2958,121519.8009]万吨,并在此基础上提出一些保障山西省煤炭合理产量的相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:Shanxi Province is an important coal production base in China. The exploitation and utilization of Shanxi's coal resources provide energy for the development of the national economy and promote the development of the local economy on the one hand, and the high intensity of the coal resources on the other. Large-scale development has had a tremendous impact on the regional ecological environment and generated great environmental pressure. "the 13th Five-Year Plan outline for the National Economic and Social Development of the people's Republic of China, For short, the 13th Five-Year Plan for 2016-2020 clearly proposes to implement "green development, building a resource-saving and environment-friendly society." therefore, how to continue to maintain rapid economic growth under resource constraints and environmental constraints, It is of great theoretical and practical significance to plan and determine Shanxi's coal production scientifically and reasonably, and to realize the coordinated and sustainable development of coal resources and regional environment. This paper aims at realizing the sustainable development of Shanxi's coal resources. Based on the theory of sustainable development, general equilibrium theory, material flow analysis and ecological footprint, the pressure of coal resources exploitation on regional environment in Shanxi Province is systematically studied from the point of view of ecosystem security. This paper reasonably calculates the environmental carrying capacity of coal resources development in Shanxi Province, and on the basis of this, forecasts the reasonable coal production in Shanxi Province, and makes a beneficial exploration to promote the sustainable development of coal resources in Shanxi Province. The material flow index system of coal resource development in Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2014 is calculated by using material flow analysis method, and the pressure on natural environment caused by coal resource development in Shanxi Province is analyzed and studied from the point of view of quality. By using the ecological footprint method, the ecological footprint inventory of coal resources development is established, and the ecological footprint of coal resources development in Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2014 is calculated. This paper analyzes and studies the pressure on the natural environment caused by the exploitation of coal resources in Shanxi Province from the aspect of area. Secondly, the dynamic prediction model of environmental carrying capacity based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the calculation model of environmental carrying capacity of coal resource development are established. This paper puts forward that the proportion of coal consumption of ten thousand yuan GDP to ten thousand yuan GDP energy consumption reflects the share of coal industry in the total environmental carrying capacity, and calculates the maximum environmental carrying capacity and the optimum environmental carrying capacity of coal resources development in Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2014. Finally, Based on the analysis of the ecological footprint of coal resources development in Shanxi Province, the relationship between environmental carrying capacity and coal production is analyzed, and the reasonable output of coal resources exploitation in Shanxi Province is calculated to be [100543.295880 ~ 121519.8009] million tons. On this basis, some relevant policy suggestions are put forward to ensure the reasonable coal production in Shanxi Province.
【学位授予单位】：中国矿业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.21

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