中国农业环境库兹涅茨曲线的检验与分析——基于碳排放的视角

发布时间：2018-03-14 16:26

本文选题：经济增长　切入点：碳排放　出处：《生态经济》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：探讨农业碳排放与经济增长之间的关系对于促进我国农业环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)的研究具有十分重要的意义。文章选用1998-2012年我国农业人均二氧化碳排放量与人均国民生产总值作为研究对象,通过Eviews 6.0建立时间序列模型,从其相关关系出发进行回归分析与检验,结果表明:我国农业碳排放与经济增长之间符合环境库兹涅茨曲线假说。当前条件下,随着经济的发展,我国农业生产中二氧化碳的排放量会随着经济增长先上升后缓解,当人均GDP为27 472元时达到拐点,目前仍处于倒"U"型的左侧。因此,我国在加快农业现代化进程的同时也应该采取切实有效的措施,在推动经济发展中注重环境保护。
[Abstract]:It is very important to explore the relationship between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth in order to promote the study of the Kuznets curve of agricultural environment in China. The paper selects the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of agriculture and the per capita countries from 1998 to 2012 in China. The gross domestic product is the object of study. A time series model was established by Eviews 6.0.The regression analysis and test were carried out from its correlation relationship. The results show that the relationship between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth accords with the hypothesis of environmental Kuznets curve. Carbon dioxide emissions in China's agricultural production will rise first and then ease with economic growth. When the per capita GDP reaches the inflection point of 27,472 yuan, it is still on the left side of the inverted "U" type. While speeding up the process of agricultural modernization, China should also take practical and effective measures to promote economic development and pay attention to environmental protection.
【作者单位】：湖南农业大学商学院;
【基金】：湖南省情与决策咨询研究课题“湖南省家庭农场适度规模经营的评价与实现途径研究”(2015ZZ058)
【分类号】：S181

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