经济增长与耕地占用:基于脱钩理论的视角——以广东省为例

发布时间：2018-04-10 08:55

本文选题：脱钩理论　切入点：经济增长　出处：《世界农业》2017年12期

【摘要】：借鉴物理学的脱钩理论,采用1994—2013年广东省相关数据研究了经济增长与耕地占用之间的关系,结论如下:(1)广东省及4个区域非农经济增长与建设耕地占用之间的脱钩关系基本由建设占用耕地变化量来决定。(2)广东省及4个区域非农经济增长与建设耕地占用总体呈现"理想—畸形"的波浪形周期变化。(3)东翼、西翼、北部山区非农经济增长与建设占用耕地之间呈现"畸形"的概率更大。(4)脱钩机理分析表明,资本、劳动力、技术已逐渐成为拉动广东省经济增长的生力军,广东省经济增长对耕地依赖程度逐渐减弱,保耕地红线和保经济增长不矛盾不冲突。最后基此提出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the decoupling theory of physics, this paper studies the relationship between economic growth and cultivated land occupation by using relevant data of Guangdong Province from 1994 to 2013.Conclusion: 1) the decoupling relationship between the growth of non-agricultural economy and the occupation of construction cultivated land in Guangdong Province and four regions is basically determined by the change of cultivated land occupied by construction. 2) the growth of non-agricultural economy and the occupation of construction cultivated land in four regions of Guangdong Province and four regions are determined by the amount of change of cultivated land occupied by construction.The overall "ideal-deformity" wave-shaped periodic variation.Analysis of decoupling mechanism between non-agricultural economic growth and construction occupation of cultivated land in the western and northern mountainous areas shows that capital, labor force and technology have gradually become the new force driving economic growth in Guangdong Province.The dependence of economic growth on cultivated land in Guangdong Province has gradually weakened, and there is no conflict between the red line of protected cultivated land and the economic growth of conservation.Finally, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
【作者单位】：佛山科学技术学院经济管理学院;
【基金】：广东省哲学社会科学“十二五”规划项目“广东新型农业经营主体的科技支撑体系研究”(GD15CYJ10) 广东高校省级重点平台和重大科研项目“基于粮食安全视角的广东农业结构调整战略研究”(2014WTSCX081) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“基本农田保护经济补偿政策实施绩效与政策优化——基于广东省的跟踪调查”(15YJA790042)
【分类号】：F127;F323.211

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