牛粪规模化处理意愿Logistic模型影响因素实证分析——以洱海流域散养奶牛为例

发布时间：2018-04-19 08:30

本文选题：大理州 + 散养奶牛　；参考：《中国畜牧杂志》2017年06期

【摘要】：本研究利用321个奶农的调查数据,运用Logistic模型对大理州奶农规模化处理牛粪意愿的影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明:大理州奶农规模化处理牛粪的意愿受多种因素影响,其中奶农受教育程度、奶农卖牛粪意愿和奶农与肥料企业合作的意愿等因素与奶农规模化处理牛粪意愿呈正相关。影响程度从大到小依次为奶农与肥料企业合作的意愿、奶农卖牛粪意愿、奶农的受教育程度,而奶农的年龄、奶牛养殖头数、耕地面积、牛粪堆积方式、收入主要来源和牛粪是否污染环境认知等变量对奶农规模化处理牛粪的意愿影响不显著。最后,提出了促进洱海流域奶牛粪便规模化处理的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In this study, based on 321 dairy farmers' survey data, Logistic model was used to analyze the influencing factors of dairy farmers' willingness to deal with cow dung on a large scale in Dali Prefecture.The results showed that the willingness of dairy farmers to deal with cow dung on a large scale was affected by many factors, including the education level of dairy farmers.The factors such as the willingness of dairy farmers to sell cow dung and the willingness of farmers to cooperate with fertilizer enterprises were positively correlated with the willingness of dairy farmers to deal with cow dung on a large scale.The order of influence from big to small is the willingness of dairy farmers to cooperate with fertilizer enterprises, the willingness of dairy farmers to sell cow dung, the education level of dairy farmers, and the age of dairy farmers, the number of cows raised, the area of cultivated land, the mode of accumulation of cow dung.The main sources of income and the cognition of whether the cow dung pollutes the environment had no significant effect on the dairy farmers' willingness to deal with the cow dung on a large scale.Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward to promote the treatment of dairy cow feces in Erhai Lake Basin.
【作者单位】：中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所;中国农业科学院农业资源与区划研究所;
【基金】：“十二五”国家水专项洱海永安江非点源污染控制关键技术及工程示范研究(2014ZX07105-001)
【分类号】：X713

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