代际差异、长期非农收入与耕地转出稳定性

发布时间：2018-05-01 15:23

  本文选题：代际差异 + 劳动力偏好　； 参考：《南京农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年03期

【摘要】：大多数农户没有流转承包耕地,同时存在转出耕地后又收回的情况。已有研究忽略了耕地转出的稳定性,并多以农户某一期的非农就业状况解释农户的耕地转出,对农户非农收入的长期可靠性缺乏考虑。基于农村固定观察点农户跟踪调查数据,分析并运用多项Logit模型检验代际差异、长期非农收入对农户转出耕地的影响。结果显示:劳动力年轻化促使农户转出耕地,但不能确保转出的稳定性;非农收入长期稳步上升才能促使农户稳定转出耕地。发展耕地流转市场,必要的政策不应仅着眼于增加农村劳动力的非农就业机会,还应通过各种途径增强非农收入的长期可靠性。
[Abstract]:Most farmers do not transfer contracted farmland, at the same time there is a situation after the transfer of arable land and recovery. Some studies have neglected the stability of cultivated land transfer, and explained the farmland transfer by the non-agricultural employment status of farmers in a certain period, which has not considered the long-term reliability of farmers' non-agricultural income. Based on the survey data of farmers in fixed observation points in rural areas, this paper analyzes and uses a number of Logit models to test the effects of intergenerational differences and long-term non-agricultural income on the transfer of farmland from farmers. The results show that the younger labor force can promote farmers to transfer out of cultivated land, but can not ensure the stability of the transfer, and that the steady increase of non-agricultural income can promote the steady transfer of farmers out of cultivated land for a long period of time. To develop the cultivated land circulation market, the necessary policies should not only focus on increasing non-agricultural employment opportunities of rural labor force, but also enhance the long-term reliability of non-agricultural income through various ways.
【作者单位】： 南京农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金国际(地区)合作交流项目“人口变化、城乡人口流动和中国的农业与农村发展”(71361140370) 国家社会科学基金重大项目“完善国家粮食安全保障体系研究”(14ZDA038) 江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)
【分类号】：F323.211
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本文编号：1829955