我国西北平原区农村生活能源消费和供需结构分析

发布时间：2018-07-17 15:03

【摘要】：[目的]明确我国西北平原区农村生活能源需求总量、消费结构和供给模式,为该区域乃至全国的农村能源消费供给结构和模式调整提供理论依据。[方法]运用描述统计法,以1991~2014年《全国农村可再生能源统计汇总表》中的数据为基准,分析比较了我国西北平原区7个省(自治区)农村地区共24年商品能源(煤炭、电力、石油、液化石油气、天然气、煤气)、非商品能源(秸秆、薪柴、沼气、太阳能)消费和能源(煤炭、焦炭、成品油、电力、薪柴)生产间的相互关系和变化趋势。[结果]西北平原区商品能源在能源消费中的比例在65%左右,并保持稳定增长;西北平原区以煤炭为主的能源消费格局稳定,沼气和太阳能等清洁能源消费量逐年提高;因经济发展速度、产业结构等因素的差异,导致我国西北平原区不同地区农村能源消费结构表现出明显的不同;我国西北平原区的主要能源生产与消费差额呈负值,近4年差额稳定在年平均负1 294.40万t标准煤。[结论]该区域能源供需不平衡问题一直存在,建议未来结合新型城镇化建设的要求,因地制宜促进能源结构调整,保障资源的可持续利用和发展。
[Abstract]:[objective] to clarify the total amount of rural energy demand, consumption structure and supply mode in northwest plain area of China, and to provide theoretical basis for the adjustment of rural energy consumption structure and pattern in this region and even in the whole country. [methods] based on the data from the Statistical Summary of National Rural Renewable Energy from 1991 to 2014, the commodity energy (coal, electricity) in rural areas of 7 provinces (autonomous regions) in Northwest Plain of China were analyzed and compared by using descriptive statistics. The interrelation and changing trend between the consumption of petroleum, liquefied petroleum gas, natural gas, non-commercial energy (straw, firewood, biogas, solar energy) and the production of energy (coal, coke, refined oil, electricity, fuelwood). [results] the proportion of commodity energy in energy consumption in Northwest Plain was about 65%, and maintained steady growth, the consumption pattern of coal was stable, and the consumption of clean energy such as biogas and solar energy increased year by year. Because of the difference of economic development speed, industrial structure and other factors, the rural energy consumption structure in different areas of Northwest Plain of China is obviously different, and the difference between main energy production and consumption in Northwest Plain of China is negative. In the last four years, the difference is stable at the annual average of minus 12.944 million tons of standard coal. [conclusion] the imbalance of energy supply and demand has always existed in this region. It is suggested that measures should be taken to promote the adjustment of energy structure and ensure the sustainable utilization and development of resources according to the requirements of new urbanization construction in the future.
【作者单位】：农业部农业生态与资源保护总站;农业部资源循环利用技术与模式重点实验室;北京航天信息股份有限公司;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“新型城镇化背景下农村能源需求结构与供给模式研究”(14BGL096)
【分类号】：F323.214

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