基于高标准粮田建设的鹤壁市耕地预测分析
发布时间：2018-11-22 11:06
【摘要】：鹤壁市作为河南省高标准粮田示范区,肩负着保证粮食安全与实现农业现代化的重担。运用IDRISI软件的CA-Markov方法,通过对2003年、2013年土地利用动态变化的处理,得到鹤壁市2023年的土地利用模拟预测图。结果表明:"十三五"期间鹤壁市耕地数量小幅下降,但仍具有面积优势,平均减少动态度仅0.93%;耕地重心30年间均在浚县内,未来浚县将成为高标准粮田建设的核心区域;到2023年,耕地在内部挖潜与占补平衡的作用下日益集中连片,且灌溉水平提高,注重绿色化发展,高标准粮田建设水平提升;未来耕地质量退化减少,占补质量趋于均衡,有利于高标准粮田区的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:As a high-standard grain field demonstration area in Henan Province, Hebi City shoulders the burden of ensuring food security and realizing agricultural modernization. By using the CA-Markov method of IDRISI software, the land use simulation forecast map of Hebi City in 2023 was obtained by dealing with the dynamic changes of land use in 2003 and 2013. The results showed that the amount of cultivated land in Hebi City decreased slightly during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, but it still had the advantage of area, and the average reduction dynamic degree was only 0.93%. The center of gravity of cultivated land is in Junxian for 30 years. In the future, Junxian will become the core area of high standard grain field construction. By 2023, cultivated land in the role of internal potential and balance between occupation and compensation is increasingly concentrated and linked, and the level of irrigation has been improved, with emphasis on green development, and high standard grain field construction level has been improved. In the future, the quality of cultivated land will be reduced and the occupied and compensated quality will be balanced, which is beneficial to the sustainable development of high standard grain areas.
【作者单位】： 郑州大学公共管理学院;郑州大学水利与环境学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40971128) 科技部“十二五”农村领域国家科技计划课题项目(编号:2012BAD05B02-7)
【分类号】：F323.211
本文编号：2349163
[Abstract]:As a high-standard grain field demonstration area in Henan Province, Hebi City shoulders the burden of ensuring food security and realizing agricultural modernization. By using the CA-Markov method of IDRISI software, the land use simulation forecast map of Hebi City in 2023 was obtained by dealing with the dynamic changes of land use in 2003 and 2013. The results showed that the amount of cultivated land in Hebi City decreased slightly during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, but it still had the advantage of area, and the average reduction dynamic degree was only 0.93%. The center of gravity of cultivated land is in Junxian for 30 years. In the future, Junxian will become the core area of high standard grain field construction. By 2023, cultivated land in the role of internal potential and balance between occupation and compensation is increasingly concentrated and linked, and the level of irrigation has been improved, with emphasis on green development, and high standard grain field construction level has been improved. In the future, the quality of cultivated land will be reduced and the occupied and compensated quality will be balanced, which is beneficial to the sustainable development of high standard grain areas.
【作者单位】： 郑州大学公共管理学院;郑州大学水利与环境学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40971128) 科技部“十二五”农村领域国家科技计划课题项目(编号:2012BAD05B02-7)
【分类号】：F323.211
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