基于模糊网络分析的建设工程合同信用风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-02-14 20:36

本文关键词： 建设工程合同信用信用风险风险评价模糊网络分析法　出处：《长沙理工大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：建设工程项目是一项复杂的系统工程，具有资金投入多、规模大、生产周期长、不可移动性、参与主体多的特点。目前我国建筑市场信用体系还不完善，建设工程中信用缺失现象严重，原因是在建设工程合同信用管理过程中的不确定性因素越来越多。目前我国建设工程合同信用风险管理还没有系统的风险识别、风险评价、风险控制等，尤其对建设工程合同信用风险评价缺少科学有效的评价方法。因此，对建设工程合同信用风险评价进行研究，并采取有效的建设工程合同信用风险防范对策及措施，，是具有重要的意义和实际应用价值。本文在界定了建设工程合同信用风险概念的基础上，对建设工程合同信用风险形成的机理进行了较深入研究；构建了建设工程合同信用风险管理基本框架，提出了建设工程合同信用风险识别流程，并详细分析了建设工程合同信用的主要风险因素；在此基础上建立了建设工程合同信用风险评价指标体系。在评析建设工程项目风险评价常用方法的基础上，构建了建设工程合同信用风险模糊网络评价模型，该模型运用三角模糊数确定各评价指标的权重，运用模糊网络模型进行综合评价。该模型为建设工程合同信用风险分析提供一种新方法。结合G市Z区翡翠绿洲七期建设工程的合同及履行实际情况，运用本文构建的建设工程合同信用风险评价指标体系和模糊网络评价模型，对该建设工程的合同信用风险进行了综合评价，并提出了相应的建设工程合同信用风险防范措施建议。结果表明：采用模糊网络评价模型进行建设工程合同信用风险评价能够得到比较好的结果。因此，该模型为建设工程合同信用风险分析提供一种新方法。
[Abstract]:The construction project is a complex system engineering, which has the characteristics of large scale, long production cycle, immobility and many participants. At present, the credit system of construction market in our country is not perfect. The phenomenon of lack of credit in construction project is serious, because there are more and more uncertain factors in the process of credit management of construction project contract. At present, there is no systematic risk identification and risk evaluation for credit risk management of construction project contract in our country. Risk control and so on, especially the lack of scientific and effective evaluation method for credit risk evaluation of construction project contract. Therefore, the credit risk evaluation of construction project contract is studied. It is of great significance and practical value to take effective countermeasures and measures to prevent the credit risk of construction project contract. On the basis of defining the concept of credit risk in construction project contract, this paper makes a deep study on the formation mechanism of credit risk in construction project contract, and constructs the basic framework of credit risk management in construction project contract. The credit risk identification process of construction project contract is put forward, and the main risk factors of construction contract credit are analyzed in detail. On this basis, the evaluation index system of construction contract credit risk is established. On the basis of evaluating the common methods of construction project risk evaluation, the fuzzy network evaluation model of construction project contract credit risk is constructed. The model uses triangular fuzzy number to determine the weight of each evaluation index and fuzzy network model for comprehensive evaluation. The model provides a new method for credit risk analysis of construction contract. Combined with the contract and performance of the seventh phase construction project of Jadeite Oasis in Z District of G City, the credit risk evaluation index system and fuzzy network evaluation model of the construction project contract were constructed in this paper. The contract credit risk of the construction project is comprehensively evaluated. The results show that the fuzzy network evaluation model can be used to evaluate the credit risk of construction contracts. The model provides a new method for credit risk analysis of construction contract.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：TU723.1

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