潍坊昌潍物流园区建设项目投资风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-08-31 10:36

【摘要】：在经济发展强有力的拉动下,我国物流行业获得了快速的发展,并已成为最具有成长潜力的行业之一。在此背景下,各类物流园区纷纷涌现,物流园区的大规模建设是一种促进我国物流水平提升以及拉动经济发展的重要力量。作为现代物流发展过程中的一个新生事物,物流园区建设在我国还处于一个起步的阶段,尽管各类物流园区四处开花,但是建成以后能够良好运转的却寥寥无几。究其原因是一些物流园区匆匆上马,没有对项目进行投资风险分析,而物流园区建设往往投资巨大,一旦决策失误往往会给投资主体带来巨大的经济损失。针对目前物流园区建设如火如荼的客观现实,本文选择潍坊昌潍物流园区这一典型项目为研究对象,通过利用SWOT分析、德尔菲法等对物流园区项目的风险进行了识别,具有一定的创新性。同时利用了层次分析法、专家调查打分法和模糊综合评价法等定量分析方法,全面而深入的分析了潍坊昌潍物流园区建设项目的投资风险,具有一定的科学性和准确性。并在此基础之上,提出了有利于控制物流园区项目投资风险的具体策略,希望通过本文的研究能够为该物流园区建设项目风险的控制做出有益探索,同时也希望文章的结论能够给我国更多物流园区建设的顺利开展带来经验借鉴。本文共分为六个章节的内容：第一部分为前言,主要对课题的研究背景与意义、国内外研究现状、研究方法等内容进行了阐述。第二部分为项目投资风险管理基本理论概述,主要对物流园区、项目风险管理、项目投资风险等理论进行了论述,为论文的开展奠定了理论基础。第三部分为潍坊昌潍物流园区项目的市场分析,利用SWOT分析方法对该项目的市场环境进行了一个全面分析。第四部分为潍坊昌潍物流园区项目投资风险识别与评判,分别对该物流园区项目投资风险因素进行了识别,并对这些因素进行了评估。第五部分对潍坊昌潍物流园区项目的投资风险应对及防范策略进行了总结分析,从风险监控以及风险应对两个方面进行了概括。第六部分为结论与展望,对论文的研究成果进行了梳理,并指出了未来的研究方向。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy, the logistics industry of our country has been developing rapidly, and has become one of the industries with the most growth potential. In this context, all kinds of logistics parks have emerged, the large-scale construction of logistics parks is an important force to promote the level of logistics and promote economic development in China. As a new thing in the process of modern logistics development, the construction of logistics park is still in its infancy in our country. Although all kinds of logistics parks blossom everywhere, few of them can run well after completion. The reason is that some logistics parks rush to start, and do not carry on the investment risk analysis to the project, but the logistics park construction often has the huge investment, once the decision mistake often will bring the huge economic loss to the investment main body. Aiming at the objective reality of logistics park construction in full swing, this paper chooses Weifang Changwei logistics park as the research object, and identifies the risk of logistics park project by using SWOT analysis, Delphi method and so on. Have certain innovation. At the same time, using the analytic hierarchy process method, the expert investigation scoring method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and other quantitative analysis methods, comprehensive and in-depth analysis of Weifang Changwei logistics park construction project investment risk, has certain scientific and accurate. On this basis, the paper puts forward some specific strategies to control the investment risk of the logistics park project, hoping that the research in this paper can make a beneficial exploration for the control of the construction project risk of the logistics park. At the same time, I also hope that the conclusion of the article can bring lessons to the smooth development of more logistics parks in China. This paper is divided into six chapters: the first part is the preface, mainly to the research background and significance of the subject, domestic and foreign research status, research methods and so on. The second part is an overview of the basic theory of project investment risk management, which mainly discusses the logistics park, project risk management, project investment risk and so on, which lays a theoretical foundation for the development of the paper. The third part is the market analysis of the Weifang Changwei Logistics Park Project, and makes a comprehensive analysis of the market environment of the project by using the SWOT analysis method. The fourth part is the identification and evaluation of the investment risk of Weifang Changwei logistics park project. The factors of investment risk of the logistics park project are identified, and these factors are evaluated. The fifth part summarizes the investment risk response and prevention strategy of Weifang Changwei logistics park project from two aspects: risk monitoring and risk response. The sixth part is the conclusion and prospect, combing the research results and pointing out the future research direction.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：TU71;F259.27

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