秦沈天然气管道项目后评价研究

发布时间：2018-10-16 10:36

【摘要】：秦皇岛--沈阳天然气管道是华北天然气管网与东北天然气管网的联络线,该管道连接着大连--沈阳天然气管道和规划中引进俄罗斯天然气的哈尔滨--沈阳输气管道,形成东北地区和华北地区管网的衔接,对实现气源多元化、管道网络化都具有十分重要的意义。本文主要从以下几个方面开展研究,首先,通过学习和研究国内外天然气管道建设项目后评价的相关理论,确定秦皇岛--沈阳天然气管道建设项目的后评价内容,结合本项目建设的特点,根据专家的建议,需要创建与之对应的后评价相关指标体系;然后,从客观的角度来分析各种项目后评价方法并同本项目进行对比,聘请26名专家进行实际考察和调研,根据天然气管道建设项目后评价的需要,采用对比法对秦皇岛--沈阳天然气管道项目在建设与实施、生产与运行、经济效益、影响与持续性等方面进行后评价;最后,将层次分析法和模糊评价法的理念有机结合,采用matlab软件计算确定指标权重,采用模糊综合评价法进行综合评价分析,并总结该项目建设的经验教训,提出改进建议。在对比分析和综合分析的基础上,根据专家的评价得出秦沈天然气管道项目总体处于良好的状态。秦皇岛--沈阳天然气管道工程是我国全力推进的石油资源供应多元化,保障国家能源安全,构建我国东北地区能源的重要通道组成部分。该工程的建设,及时、有效缓解辽河油田减产造成的资源短缺局面,进一步提高我国石油资源供应的安全性和可靠性,对国家的能源战略具有深远意义,符合国家的长远战略利益和当前国民经济发展的迫切需要,是一项利国利民的工程。秦皇岛--沈阳天然气管道工程后评价研究,推动了相关领域的后评价工作,有极大的积极影响,针对后评价方法上的准确性分析还有待进一步的研究。
[Abstract]:Qinhuangdao-Shenyang natural gas pipeline is the liaison line between North China gas pipeline and northeast natural gas pipeline, which connects Dalian-Shenyang natural gas pipeline and planned Harbin-Shenyang gas pipeline to import Russian natural gas. It is of great significance to realize the diversification of gas sources and the network of pipelines in Northeast China and North China. This article mainly carries out the research from the following several aspects: first, through studying and studying the domestic and foreign natural gas pipeline construction project post-evaluation theory, determines the Qinhuangdao-Shenyang natural gas pipeline construction project post-evaluation content, Combined with the characteristics of the project construction, according to the recommendations of experts, it is necessary to create a corresponding post-evaluation index system; then, from an objective point of view to analyze the various methods of post-evaluation of the project and compare with the project, According to the needs of post-evaluation of natural gas pipeline construction project, 26 experts were employed to carry out the actual investigation and investigation, and the comparative method was applied to the construction and implementation, production and operation, and economic benefit of the natural gas pipeline project in Qinhuangdao and Shenyang. Finally, the idea of AHP and fuzzy evaluation method is combined organically, the index weight is calculated by matlab software, and the comprehensive evaluation analysis is carried out by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The experiences and lessons of the project construction are summarized, and suggestions for improvement are put forward. On the basis of comparative analysis and comprehensive analysis, it is concluded that the Qinhuangshen natural gas pipeline project is in good condition on the whole according to the evaluation of experts. Qinhuangdao-Shenyang Natural Gas Pipeline Project is an important part of energy channel in Northeast China. The construction of the project can effectively alleviate the shortage of resources caused by the reduction of production in Liaohe Oilfield and further improve the security and reliability of China's oil resources supply, which is of far-reaching significance to the country's energy strategy. It conforms to the national long-term strategic interests and the urgent needs of the current national economic development, and is a project beneficial to the country and the people. The post evaluation research of Qinhuangdao-Shenyang natural gas pipeline project has promoted the post evaluation work in related fields and has great positive influence. The accuracy analysis of the post evaluation method needs further research.
【学位授予单位】：中国石油大学(华东)
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TE973

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