第三方损坏对管道可靠性的影响规律
发布时间：2018-10-26 14:04
【摘要】：影响管道可靠性的因素众多,为了研究第三方损坏因素对管道可靠性的影响规律,结合管道遭受第三方损坏活动冲击概率和冲击力作用下管道失效概率2个方面,建立了定量计算模型。采用故障树分析方法,建立了管道第三方损坏故障树,确定影响第三方损坏活动因素的类型及逻辑计算关系,研究了故障树中基本事件概率取值方法,从而可计算管道遭受第三方损坏活动冲击的概率。在第三方损坏冲击力作用下,管道本身材料强度产生抗力,基于冲击力和抗力的相互作用,研究了穿刺失效模型和凹陷-划伤失效模型,确定了2个模型的极限状态方程,可定量计算第三方损坏对管道可靠性的影响程度。以中国某天然气管道为例,收集计算所需参数因子,计算了第三方损坏导致管道失效概率值。
[Abstract]:There are many factors affecting pipeline reliability. In order to study the influence of third-party damage factors on pipeline reliability, combined with the impact probability of pipeline damage and failure probability of pipeline under the action of impact force. A quantitative calculation model is established. In this paper, the fault tree of pipeline third party damage is established by using fault tree analysis method, the types of factors influencing the third party damage activity and the logical calculation relation are determined, and the method of selecting the probability of the basic event in the fault tree is studied. Thus, the probability of pipeline being attacked by third party damage can be calculated. Under the action of the third party damage impact force, the material strength of the pipeline produces resistance. Based on the interaction of impact force and resistance, the puncture failure model and the sag-scratch failure model are studied, and the limit state equations of the two models are determined. The influence of third party damage on pipeline reliability can be calculated quantitatively. Taking a natural gas pipeline in China as an example, the required parameters are collected and calculated, and the failure probability of pipeline caused by third party damage is calculated.
【作者单位】： 中国石油管道科技研究中心/油气管道输送安全国家工程实验室;中国石油天然气管道局工程有限公司维抢修分公司;中国石油管道公司;
【基金】：中国石油集团公司科研项目“大型天然气管网系统可靠性研究”,2014B-3411
【分类号】：TE973
本文编号：2295964
[Abstract]:There are many factors affecting pipeline reliability. In order to study the influence of third-party damage factors on pipeline reliability, combined with the impact probability of pipeline damage and failure probability of pipeline under the action of impact force. A quantitative calculation model is established. In this paper, the fault tree of pipeline third party damage is established by using fault tree analysis method, the types of factors influencing the third party damage activity and the logical calculation relation are determined, and the method of selecting the probability of the basic event in the fault tree is studied. Thus, the probability of pipeline being attacked by third party damage can be calculated. Under the action of the third party damage impact force, the material strength of the pipeline produces resistance. Based on the interaction of impact force and resistance, the puncture failure model and the sag-scratch failure model are studied, and the limit state equations of the two models are determined. The influence of third party damage on pipeline reliability can be calculated quantitatively. Taking a natural gas pipeline in China as an example, the required parameters are collected and calculated, and the failure probability of pipeline caused by third party damage is calculated.
【作者单位】： 中国石油管道科技研究中心/油气管道输送安全国家工程实验室;中国石油天然气管道局工程有限公司维抢修分公司;中国石油管道公司;
【基金】：中国石油集团公司科研项目“大型天然气管网系统可靠性研究”,2014B-3411
【分类号】：TE973
【相似文献】
相关期刊论文 前4条
1 吴超;徐伟;张臣;;构建输气管道第三方防控长效保护机制[J];东方企业文化;2012年18期
2 赵艳;;油公司实行第三方采购初探[J];商场现代化;2009年08期
3 史爽;姚安林;蒋宏业;郭磊;赵新好;;基于三角模糊和故障树理论的西气东输管道第三方破坏风险分析[J];重庆科技学院学报(自然科学版);2011年01期
4 刘熹;;论“第三方准入”机制在LNG接收站的应用[J];中国石油和化工标准与质量;2012年01期
相关重要报纸文章 前1条
1 刘涛;管道建设的安全“防火墙”[N];石油管道报;2011年
相关博士学位论文 前1条
1 杨建功;长呼复线管道第三方破坏安全评价及风险防控研究[D];西南石油大学;2016年
，本文编号：2295964
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/kejilunwen/shiyounenyuanlunwen/2295964.html
