基于仿真模拟的长株潭城市群水资源供需系统决策优化（英文）

发布时间：2018-01-02 10:43

本文关键词：基于仿真模拟的长株潭城市群水资源供需系统决策优化（英文）　出处：《Journal of Geographical Sciences》2015年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：Using system analysis theory and methods, a dynamic model of a water resource supply and demand system was built to simulate trends in the supply and demand of water in the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan(Chang-Zhu-Tan) urban agglomeration for the period 2012 to 2030. Four scenarios were examined; namely, a traditional development model, an economic development model, a water-saving model, and a coordinated development model.(i) The problem of balancing water resource supply and demand is becoming increasingly conspicuous with a growing population and a rapidly developing economy.(ii) By 2030, water demand is set to reach a total of 105.1 × 108 m3, with a water supply of 5.4 × 108 m3. A coordinated development model for water resource supply could meet the growing demands of socio-economic development, and generate huge comprehensive benefits. This will be the best solution for the development and utilization of a water resource supply and demand system in the Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration.(iii) We should accelerate the construction of water conservation projects, strengthen the management of water conservation, optimize economic structures, enhance our awareness of the importance of protecting water resources, hasten the recycling of waste water and environmental improvement, and promote utilization efficiency, and support the capabilities of water resources to meet our expectations.
[Abstract]:Using system analysis theory and methods, a dynamic model of a water resource supply and demand system was built to simulate trends in the supply and demand of water in the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan(Chang-Zhu-Tan) urban agglomeration for the period 2012 to 2030. Four scenarios were examined; namely, a traditional development model, an economic development model, a water-saving model, and a coordinated development model.(i) The problem of balancing water resource supply and demand is becoming increasingly conspicuous with a growing population and a rapidly developing economy.(ii) By 2030, water demand is set to reach a total of 105.1 脳 108 m3, with a water supply of 5.4 脳 108 m3. A coordinated development model for water resource supply could meet the growing demands of socio-economic development, and generate huge comprehensive benefits. This will be the best solution for the development and utilization of a water resource supply and demand system in the Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration.(iii) We should accelerate the construction of water conservation projects, strengthen the management of water conservation, optimize economic structures, enhance our awareness of the importance of protecting water resources, hasten the recycling of waste water and environmental improvement, and promote utilization efficiency, and support the capabilities of water resources to meet our expectations.

【作者单位】： Department
【基金】：National Social Science Foundation of China,No.15BJY051 Social Science Foundation of Hunan Province,No.13YBA016 Science&Technology Research Project of the Department of Land and Resource of Hunan Province,No.2014-13
【分类号】：TV213.4
【正文快照】： 1 IntroductionWater is a valuable resource,and necessary to human survival and development.However,population growth,industrial and agricultural activities,and rapid urbanization,as well as climate variability,have a huge impact on limited water resourc

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