基于因子分析法的新疆棉花秸秆资源化潜力SWOT分析

发布时间：2018-01-11 18:17

本文关键词：基于因子分析法的新疆棉花秸秆资源化潜力SWOT分析　出处：《中国农业资源与区划》2016年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：棉花秸秆长期以来被认知为农作物余留,决定了其资源化道路必定漫长而修远。在全球减碳发展背景下,农业减碳成本相对较低,棉花秸秆资源化符合永续发展需求。文章基于SWOT分析框架,构建了S/W/O/T指标评价体系,采用因子分析法,评价了2004~2013年间新疆棉花秸秆资源化潜力,根据潜力曲线变化趋势,参考旋转成分矩阵各因子载荷数值,结合实际情况,分析了影响新疆棉花秸秆资源化潜力因子以及其所具有的优势和劣势,面临的机会与挑战。研究结果表明:(1)新疆耕地资源充足、机械化水平高,棉花秸秆资源化潜力较大。(2)受自然、社会条件约束,新疆棉花秸秆资源化潜力难以得到完全发挥。(3)新疆存在科技潜力转变为科技红利的现实基础,借助跨越式发展机遇,棉花秸秆资源化潜力将会得到有效激发。(4)受现有技术、社会经济影响,新疆棉花秸秆资源化潜力现实转化程度有待提高。
[Abstract]:Cotton straw has long been recognized as a residual crop, which determines that the road of resource utilization must be long and long. Under the background of global carbon reduction, the cost of carbon reduction in agriculture is relatively low. The resource utilization of cotton straw meets the requirement of sustainable development. Based on the SWOT analysis framework, the evaluation system of S / W / O / T index is constructed, and the factor analysis method is adopted. The potential of cotton straw resource utilization in Xinjiang from 2004 to 2013 was evaluated. According to the changing trend of potential curve, the load values of various factors of rotation component matrix were referred to, combined with the actual situation. This paper analyzes the factors affecting the potential of cotton straw resource utilization in Xinjiang and its advantages and disadvantages, and the opportunities and challenges it faces. The research results show that the cultivated land resources in Xinjiang are sufficient and the mechanization level is high. Cotton straw resource potential is large. 2) by nature, social conditions, Xinjiang cotton straw resource potential is difficult to fully play. 3) Xinjiang has a scientific and technological potential to transform into a scientific and technological dividend of the realistic basis. With the help of leap-forward development opportunities, cotton straw resource potential will be effectively stimulated. 4) affected by existing technology and social economy, the degree of practical transformation of cotton straw resource potential in Xinjiang needs to be improved.
【作者单位】：新疆农业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“塔里木河流域农牧系统耦合原理与资源循环利用及协同机制研究”(71363054) 2014年新疆研究生科研创新项目(XJGRI2014066)
【分类号】：F323.2
【正文快照】： 0引言长期以来,新疆作为能源基地和其地理位置的特殊性被“誉为”拥有“重要的战略地位”,然而,作为生态脆弱区却被习惯的“客观性”忽视,风沙、盐碱的荒漠环境正逐渐成为新疆的主题景观[1-2]。早在20世纪80年代,就有学者提出保护现有的天然植被是控制沙漠化发展的关键[3],但

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