海洋资源约束与中国海洋经济增长——基于海洋资源“尾效”的计量检验

发布时间：2018-01-25 21:56

本文关键词： 海洋经济增长海洋资源约束尾效 Romer“尾效”假说　出处：《地理科学》2017年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：通过构建海洋资源"尾效"模型,运用面板数据分析方法对中国沿海11省份(不含港澳台)海洋资源"尾效"进行实证研究,结果表明:(1)中国海洋资源"尾效"的平均水平为0.032 2,海洋资源对海洋经济增长的约束程度较高,资源利用方式整体呈粗放型。(2)沿海各省份海洋资源"尾效"差异显著,其中广东、上海为海洋资源低约束型,海洋资源"尾效"值分别为0.009 4、0.009 8;山东、浙江、江苏、福建、天津、辽宁、河北为海洋资源高约束型,海洋资源"尾效"值介于0.010 0~0.050 0之间;广西、海南为海洋资源强约束型,海洋资源"尾效"值均大于0.050 0。(3)海洋资源"尾效"与涉海从业人员增长率、海洋资源消耗增长率、海洋资源弹性系数、资本弹性系数呈正相关关系,海洋资源消耗速度越快,对海洋经济增长的阻力越大,而劳动力、资本的过度供给会加大海洋资源消耗对海洋经济增长的阻碍力度。因此合理利用海洋资源、优化资源利用方式,合理分配区域人力资源、提高涉海从业人员的科技素质,并推动海洋产业结构优化调整是降低海洋资源"尾效"的关键。
[Abstract]:By constructing the "tail effect" model of marine resources, the empirical study on the "tail effect" of marine resources in 11 coastal provinces of China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) is carried out by using panel data analysis method. The results show that the average level of "tail effect" of marine resources in China is 0.032 2, and the restraint degree of marine resources on marine economic growth is high. The overall pattern of resource utilization is extensive. 2) the "tail effect" of marine resources in each coastal province is significant, among which Guangdong and Shanghai are the low-constrained marine resources. The "tail effect" of marine resources was 0.009 4 ~ 0.009 8; Shandong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Fujian, Tianjin, Liaoning and Hebei are highly constrained marine resources, and the "tail effect" of marine resources is between 0.0100 and 0.0500; Guangxi, Hainan is a strong constraint of marine resources, the "tail effect" of marine resources are more than 0.050 0. 3) the "tail effect" of marine resources and the growth rate of practitioners involved in the sea, and the growth rate of consumption of marine resources. There is a positive correlation between the elastic coefficient of marine resources and the coefficient of elasticity of capital. The faster the consumption of marine resources, the greater the resistance to the growth of marine economy, while the labor force. The excessive supply of capital will increase the hindrance of the marine resources consumption to the marine economic growth. Therefore, the rational use of marine resources, the optimization of the use of resources, the rational distribution of regional human resources. The key to reduce the "tail effect" of marine resources is to improve the scientific and technological quality of the practitioners involved in the sea and to promote the optimization and adjustment of the marine industrial structure.
【作者单位】：辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41671119) 教育部重大项目(16JJD790021)资助~~
【分类号】：P74
【正文快照】： 21世纪是海洋的世纪,随着陆地资源紧缺、人口膨胀等问题的日益严峻,开发利用海洋资源被全球各沿海国家提升到发展战略的高度,世界范围内兴起了一场以发展海洋经济为标志的“蓝色革命”[1]。任何一个国家或地区在发展海洋经济时不可避免地要消耗海洋资源,由于海洋资源的有限性,

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