漳河流域跨界水资源冲突的边界效应研究

发布时间：2018-05-17 23:00

本文选题：跨界水资源冲突 + 边界效应　；参考：《生态经济》2015年12期

【摘要】：我国流域大部分具有跨行政区特征,往往行政边界行政区会成为跨界水资源冲突比较集中的地区。文章选取漳河上游流域三省22县作为跨界水资源冲突的研究空间,采用Barro回归方程及重力模型,引入距离、边界等控制变量,构建了跨界水资源冲突的边界效应测度模型,对漳河流域水资源的边界效应结构及演变趋势进行测度,尝试回答行政边界对跨界水资源冲突的影响程度。结果表明:(1)漳河流域省内间边界效应有趋同特征,而跨省边界的存在明显的边界效应;(2)在晋与冀、晋与豫方程中,边界(Boundary)回归系数均通过显著性检验(1%)且为正值,说明晋与冀、晋与豫的省际边界对水资源冲突改善有一定的阻碍作用,表明现阶段漳河流域矛盾集中在上下游间;(3)晋与冀边界系数(1.792)大于晋与豫间(0.61),说明晋与冀边界效应要大于晋与豫的边界效应,表明漳河矛盾焦点更多集中在晋与冀之间;(4)晋与冀、晋与豫边界系数α2分别从2004~2008年的0.103、0.271上升到2008~2011年的0.128和0.387,表明漳河流域跨界水资源冲突的边界效应影响呈扩大趋势。最后,提出缓解漳河流域跨界水资源冲突边界效应的对策建议,促进漳河流域统一管理。
[Abstract]:Most of the watersheds in our country have the characteristics of cross-administrative regions, and often the administrative boundary administrative regions will become the areas where the conflicts of cross-boundary water resources are relatively concentrated. In this paper, 22 counties of three provinces in the upper reaches of the Zhanghe River Basin are selected as the research space of transboundary water resources conflict. The boundary effect measurement model of transboundary water resources conflict is constructed by using Barro regression equation and gravity model, introducing control variables such as distance and boundary. This paper measures the boundary effect structure and evolution trend of water resources in Zhanghe River Basin, and tries to answer the extent of the influence of administrative boundary on the conflict of transboundary water resources. The results show that the boundary effect in the Zhangzhou River basin is similar, but the boundary effect is obvious in the inter-provincial boundary. (2) in the Jin and Hebei, Jin and Henan equations, the boundary regression coefficients are positive and positive, indicating that the Jin and Hebei provinces have a positive boundary effect. The inter-provincial border between Shanxi and Henan has a certain hindrance to the improvement of water resources conflict. The results show that the contradiction between the upper and lower reaches of Zhanghe River basin is mainly concentrated in the upper and lower reaches of the basin. The boundary coefficient between Shanxi and Hebei is 1.792), which is larger than that between Shanxi and Henan, indicating that the boundary effect between Shanxi and Hebei is greater than that between Shanxi and Henan. The results show that the focus of Zhangzhou River is more concentrated on the relationship between Shanxi and Hebei. The boundary coefficient 伪 _ 2 of Shanxi and Henan increased from 0.103 ~ 0.271 in 2004 ~ 2008 to 0.128 and 0.387 in 2008 ~ 2011, respectively, indicating that the influence of the boundary effect on the conflict of water resources across the Zhanghe River basin is increasing. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions to mitigate the boundary effect of water resources conflict in Zhanghe River Basin are put forward to promote the unified management of the Zhanghe River Basin.
【作者单位】：常州大学商学院;河海大学水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(14BGL097,12&ZD214,10CGL051) 国家自然科学基金项目(71433003,U1204709,U1304702) 教育部人文社会科学基金(11YJCZH123) 2014年江苏高校“青蓝工程”优秀青年骨干教师培养资助项目
【分类号】：TV213

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