中国城镇化进程中土地资源尾效的空间分异研究

发布时间：2018-05-20 12:10

本文选题：土地利用 + 城镇化　；参考：《中国土地科学》2014年06期

【摘要】：研究目的:基于两种发展情景假设,对中国城镇化过程中土地资源尾效的全局和局部空间关联性进行研究,以期揭示土地资源稀缺对城镇化发展制约的空间分布规律,并为土地资源的宏观调控提供参考。研究方法:采用计量经济学和空间分析方法对中国31个省、市、自治区土地资源尾效的空间分异进行实证研究。研究结果:从全局空间分析来看,中国31个省、市、自治区的土地资源稀缺对城镇化进程的阻力具有较好的空间结构性、关联性和依赖性,呈现出"东高西低"的非均衡性分布格局。这说明总体上中国东部地区土地资源尾效高于中、西部地区。从局部空间分析来看,城镇化进程中土地资源尾效表现出的局部空间差异性和集聚性较为显著,即尾效高值集聚的地区相对来说经济比较发达,而尾效低值集聚的地区相对来说经济较为落后;从两种不同的发展情景假定来看,情景2(土地资源数量有一定增长)可以缓解情景1(土地资源数量保持不变)假定下部分省、市、自治区土地资源对城镇化进程的阻力。研究结论:将土地资源尾效研究与空间分析方法相结合可以揭示出土地资源稀缺制约城镇化发展的空间分异特征及规律。
[Abstract]:Objective: based on the hypothesis of two kinds of development scenarios, this paper studies the overall and local spatial relationship between the tail effect of land resources in the process of urbanization in China, in order to reveal the spatial distribution law of the restriction of land resources scarcity on the development of urbanization. And provides the reference for the land resources macro-control. Methods: econometrics and spatial analysis were used to study the spatial differentiation of land resources in 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions of China. The results show that the scarcity of land resources in 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions of China has a good spatial structure, relevance and dependence on the resistance of urbanization process. It presents a non-balanced distribution pattern of "east high and west low". This shows that the tail effect of land resources in eastern China is higher than that in central and western China. From the analysis of local space, the local spatial difference and agglomeration of land resources in the process of urbanization are obvious, that is, the regions with high tail effect are relatively economically developed. On the other hand, the area with low concentration of tail effect is relatively backward in economy, and scenario 2 (land resource quantity increase) can alleviate scenario 1 (land resource quantity remains unchanged) under the assumption of partial province, according to two different development scenarios, scenario 2 (land resource quantity has a certain increase), Cities, autonomous regions of land resources to the process of urbanization resistance. Conclusion: combining land resource tail effect study with spatial analysis method can reveal the spatial differentiation characteristics and law that land resource scarcity restricts the development of urbanization.
【作者单位】：大连理工大学管理与经济学部;
【基金】：教育部人文社科项目(12YJC790267)
【分类号】：F301.2

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